Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/24/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday September 24, 2021
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -160, Twins +140; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -155, Twins +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -160, Twins +140; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  85-68 (4th place, AL East)
Minnesota Twins:  68-85 (5th place, AL Central)
 
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after a loss to the Twins on Thursday night. This will be the 2nd game of a four-game series between them and the Twins. After going on a hot streak the Blue Jays have completely cooled off losing 3 of their last 4 games. Steven Matz got the nod for them in the series opener on Thursday while Jose Berrios will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Friday. He is 12-8 with a 3.45 ERA this season. His team has won 4 of the last 5 games that he has started in. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 being a HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 6.2 IP against the Twins last Sunday. He also hit a batter with a pitch in that game. He was recently traded from the Twins so that was his first time pitching against them and the Blue Jays went on to win that game 5-3, he was credited with that win. The Jays were on a crazy run but now they have not been playing too well as they finally lost a series in their last against the Tampa Bay Rays. They have scored 11 runs in their last 4 games averaging almost 3 runs scored per game while they have allowed their opponents to score 22 runs against them in that same span allowing over 5 runs per game.
 

Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Twins are coming into this game after beating the Blue Jays on Thursday night. The Twins are now on a 3 game winning streak after winning that game and sweeping the Chicago Cubs in a two-game series prior to this one. Their last loss did come against the Blue Jays though just about a week ago. Michael Pineda was the starter for them on Thursday while rookie pitcher Bailey Ober will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Friday. He is 2-3 with a 4.34 ERA this season and in his career as it is his first season in the MLB. His team has lost the last 2 games that he started in, he was credited with the loss in 1 and the other was a no-decision. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 2 of them being homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings of work against the Jays last Saturday. That was the only time he has faced them in his career and he allowed 4 runs and was credited with the loss as his team went on to lose that game 6-2. Their offense has scored 21 runs in their last 3 games averaging 7 runs scored per game in that span while they have allowed their opponents to score 11 runs against them in that same span allowing almost 3 runs per game.
 

 

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction

The Jays are in a tight Wild Card race as they sit just 1 game behind the New York Yankees for the last spot and also have the Boston Red Sox ahead of them but still within reach. After the Oakland Athletics took a dive over the last few days the Seattle Mariners are right behind them and have become a real threat as the season winds down. The Twins are out of contention and all they have left to do is play spoiler. The Jays have now lost their first game of a series over the last few but they usually come back stronger than ever in the next few games. They have the motivation to keep pushing so the best bet here is on the Blue Jays to bounce back in this one.
 
Blue Jays Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday September 24, 2021 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Twins 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Toronto Blue Jays: 42-35 (+3 units) on the money line in road games. 16-5 (+8.4 units) on the money line in September games.
Minnesota Twins: 67-85 (-26.5 units) on the money line in all games. 34-40 (-18 units) on the money line in home games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Blue Jays:  L. Gurriel Jr. (LF) day-to-day - Hand injury. R. Borucki (RP) day-to-day - Suspension. H. Ryu (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck injury.
Minnesota Twins:  M. Kepler (CF) day-to-day - Illness. E. Colina (RP) Early Oct - Elbow injury. D. Smeltzer (RP) Early Oct - Elbow injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Toronto Blue Jays: Teoscar Hernandez is one player to watch in this matchup. He leads his team in RBI and he will have to get some more here as his team is out of a Wild Card spot right now. Bo Bichette is also a player to watch as he leads the team in stolen bases. Look for him to get on base and get into scoring position while Hernandez tries to bring the runners in. 
 
Minnesota Twins: Miguel Sano is one player to watch in this contest. He has been hitting well lately and against the Jays as well so look for him to keep that up as his team looks to play spoiler here. Also watch out for Josh Donaldson who is going up against his former team here and it is always interesting to see what tricks he will pull out for a game against them.
 

Notable Quotes

"Well, we've got nine games left. Back-to-back tough losses, it's about flushing it and going on to the next game. We can't dwell on it." - Danny Jansen after their loss on Thursday night.
 
 
"I like to be a team guy, so I love to work together. I know I'm a leader right now." - Michael Pineda after a win on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer DH
M. Semien 2B
V. Guerrero Jr. 1B
B. Bichette SS
T. Hernandez RF
L. Gurriel Jr. LF
R. Grichuk CF
B. Valera 3B
D. Jansen C
 
Minnesota Twins
B. Buxton CF
J. Polanco 2B
J. Donaldson 3B
M. Garver C
M. Kepler RF
M. Sano 1B
B. Rooker DH
N. Gordon LF
A. Simmons SS

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.322)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (183)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (46)
RBI:  T. Hernandez (110)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (23)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (20)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
 
Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  B. Buxton (.294)
Hits:  Jorge Polanco (152)
Home Runs:  Jorge Polanco (31)
RBI:  Jorge Polanco (91)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Polanco (10)
Wins:  M. Pineda (8)
Saves:  A. Colome (15)
ERA: J. Ryan (2.45)
 
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (3rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

60 degrees F light showers, 81% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds E.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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