Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Gamble and Preview - 09/25/2021

by James Q

Friday, Sep 24, 2021

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Gamble and Preview - 09/25/2021


Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Saturday, September 25th,  2021 
Venue: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Where to Watch: SNET, Bally Sports North, SNET-1

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline:  Toronto -195  Twins +165;  O/U :  9 runs
Caesars: Moneyline:  Toronto -195  Twins +165;  O/U :  9 runs

Season Record

Toronto:  85-68  (4th place AL East)
Twins:  68-85 (5th place  AL Central)

 

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Blue Jays vs Twins Preview and Analysis

The Blue Jays are in 4th place in their division, but they are very much in the mix.  The Twins are in fifth place in their division and they haven’t been in the mix for anything all year.  The Blue jays need wins in Minnesota more than anything.  The Twins are trying out minor leaguers to see if they can improve next season.  Baseball is baseball and any hot moment can win games.

Recent Form

The Blue Jays are 5-5- over their last ten games.  If they don’t push on from here then these last ten games are where they dropped the ball.  They hit 2 Overs, 6 Unders and 2 Push. They played the Tampa Bay Rays, Minnesota Twins, Tampa Bay Rays, and now the Minnesota Twins again…. so , it’s been a rough ten games.  The good team they faced is great… The bad team they faced got to see them again and again.

The Twins are also 5-5 over their last ten games.  This is the shame the Blue Jays should carat into the offseason if they don’t win out the last 9 games.  They hit  6 Overs and 4 Unders.  They went 0-1 against the New York Yankees, 1-2 against the Cleveland Indians, 1-2 against THESE Toronto Blue Jays, Swept the Chicago Cubs 2-0, won game 1 against these Toronto Blue jays.

Offensive Analysis 

The Blue Jays hitters are 3rd in the league in runs scored 5.20 per game, 2nd in batting average .265, 4th in OBP.  The offense does it!  They desperately need one more ace to legitimize it all… why not Shohei?  450 million over ten years… you also get a bunch more hitting.

The Twins are 15th in runs scored 4.52 per game, 16th in batting average .241, 18th in OBP .314.  They are very average on offense.  This causes struggles no matter the matchup.

 

Defensive Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays are 10th in team ERA 3.92, 12th in strikeouts 1377, and 9th in WHIP 1.24.  These are great numbers for the best hitting team in MLB… except the Los Angeles Dodgers are the best hitting team…, followed closely by the Giants.  To become champions the Blue Jays will need to upgrade the pitching while finding a way to maintain the batting.

The Twins are 26th in team ERA 4.87, 23rd in strikeouts 1246, 18th in WHIP 1.32.  These are the defensive stats you would expect from a last place team that doesn’t hit above average on offense.  They are the bottom of the barrel, but good enough to get the occasional win.

 

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, September 25th is…  Blue Jays 8 - Twins  2

Blue Jays and Over.  You can Parlay this one.

 

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MLB Betting Trends


The Blue Jays’ offense is averaging five runs in road games 
The Blue Jays have won 59 of the 104 games they were the moneyline favorite
Minnesota is 14-22 this season when entering a game as the underdog
Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 84 of 151

Notable Quotes

“With public health and health-care indicators currently stable, and proof of vaccination now in effect, we are able to recommend cautiously easing capacity limits in certain settings,”    - Ontario’s chief medical officer Dr. Kieran Moore.  About The Blue jays increasing capacity for the final six home games.

Starting Lineups

Blue Jays:
G. Springer, CF
M. Semien, 2B
V. Guerrero Jr., 1B
B. Bichette, SS
T. Hernandez, RF
A. Kirk, DH
C. Dickerson, LF
S. Espinal, 3B
R. McGuire, C

Twins:  
L. Arraez, 3B
B. Buxton, CF
J. Polanco, 2B
J. Donaldson, DH
M. Sano, 1B
N. Gordon, LF
B. Rooker, RF
R. Jeffers, C
A. Simmons, SS

Statistical Leaders

Twins:
Batting Average:  Jorge Polanco  .273
OBP:  Josh Donaldson  .350
Hits:  Jorge Polanco  152
Wins: Michael Pineda  8
Strikeouts:  Jose Berrios  126
Saves:  Alex Colome  15

Blue Jays:
Batting Average: Vladimir Guerrero Jr  .322
RBI:  Teoscar Hernandez  110
Everything else is Vlad Guerrero Jr.. HR, OBP, Hits
Wins: Hyun Jin Ryu  13
ERA:  Robbie Ray  2.72
Saves:  Jordan Romano.

Managers:

Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo
Twins: Rocco Baldelli

Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy.  13 mph winds.  High of 68*  Ha!  Canada is cold.

 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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