Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/11/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 11, 2024
Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Tuesday, June 11, 2024
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  SN1


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -120, Brewers +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -120, Brewers +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -120, Brewers +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  32-33 (4th place, AL East)
Milwaukee Brewers:  38-27 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  6-4 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-33 record overall and have a road record of 16-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .679 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Monday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-5 with a 3.48 ERA this season. His team lost 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-27 record overall and have a home record of 18-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Colin Rea is their starting pitcher on Monday while Carlos Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA this season. He is making his MLB debut in this game.


Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook.  The Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 38-27 record overall which has them in 1st place of the NL Central. They have looked great in their own ballpark with their 18-10 home record and they have been getting hot again lately. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 32-33 record overall which has them in 4th place of the AL East and well out of the division race. They are 16-18 in their road games and just beat up on the Athletics in their last series. The Blue Jays will have Kikuchi starting in this game and he hasn't been bad this season with his 3-5 record and his 3.48 ERA, but the team hasn't had a ton of success with him on the mound. The Blue Jays have lost 7 of the last 8 games that Kikuchi started in and they have been having a lot of problems with their offense this year too. Nothing is set in stone for the Brewers as a starter in this game but they have been pitching really well in most of their games lately, and they also have one of the best offenses in the MLB right now. The Blue Jays have been struggling all season and those struggles aren't going to end against a Brewers team that has been great for most of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game. 

Blue Jays Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 11, 2024 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Blue Jays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 32-34 (-7.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 13-19 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 11-12 (-6.2 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight games where they committed no errors. 5-2 OVER after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less. YUSEI KIKUCHI is 25-15 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150 and 4-1 OVER against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers: 39-27 (+13.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-10 (+8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 18-15 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 7-1 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher. 19-9 OVER in home games. 24-12 OVER after a win.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  N. Lukes (RF) Out indefinitely - Thumb. J. Romano (RP) Late June - Elbow. A. Manoah (SP) out of season - Elbow. Y. Rodriguez (SP) Out indefinitely - Spine.

Milwaukee Brewers:  B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. G. Mitchell (CF) Early June - Hand. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Junis (SP) Early June - Shoulder. R. Gasser (SP) Late June - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Uribe (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“Love the way they fought back today. To get out of here with two (wins) after a tough one the first night here, really, really couldn’t be prouder of them.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Sunday.


“His stuff was the best I've seen. That was electric stuff with life. His changeup was hard to recognize and his fastball was really, really good. Man, he's feeling it.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
Spencer Horwitz (L) 2B
Danny Jansen (R) C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Justin Turner (R) DH
George Springer (R) RF
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 3B
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF

Milwaukee Brewers
Joey Ortiz (R) 3B
Rhys Hoskins (R) DH
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Willy Adames (R) SS
Gary Sánchez (R) C
Blake Perkins (S) CF
Jackson Chourio (R) RF
Andruw Monasterio (R) 1B
Brice Turang (L) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Vladimir Guerrero (.292)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (73)
Home Runs:  Daulton Varsho (10)
RBI:  Daulton Varsho (31)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (8)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (6)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (8)
ERA:  Chad Green (2.03)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Christian Yelich (.324)
Hits:  William Contreras (80)
Home Runs:  Rhys Hoskins (10)
RBI:  William Contreras (46)
Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (23)
Wins:  Jared Koenig (6)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (9)
ERA:  Enoli Paredes (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (3rd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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