by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 25, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 26, 2023
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet LA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +120, Dodgers -140; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +120, Dodgers -140; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +120, Dodgers -140; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
Toronto Blue Jays: 56-45 (3rd place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 57-42 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-45 record overall and have a road record of 29-25. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .746 OPS. Chris Bassitt is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Yusei Kikuchi is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-3 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 8 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Seattle Mariners.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-42 record overall and have a home record of 29-17. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .790 OPS. Julio Urías is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Tony Gonsolin is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-3 with a 3.94 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5 innings played against the Texas Rangers.
Blue Jays vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been getting hot lately as they are climbing the standings in the AL East and have now put themselves in a position to make the playoffs, but they need to keep rolling and will be looking to stay hot in this series. The Dodgers have also been rolling in their games lately with one of the best offenses in the MLB and the lead of the NL West, but their pitching hasn't been great all season and the Blue Jays will have their opportunities to score runs in this game. The Dodgers are also going with Gonsolin on the mound and he has struggled a lot in his starts this year, giving up a ton of runs lately. He gave up 4 runs in his last start and this has been becoming a common theme for him lately as he is giving up more runs in his starts. The Blue Jays offense has been getting hot again and they are going to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here, but they also have Kikuchi on the mound and he will give them a great chance at shutting down the Dodgers. Kikuchi has been great this season as he really fixed the issues he was having last season and is now one of the best starters in this rotation. He hasn't been giving up any runs in his starts lately either and will give the Blue Jays a great chance to win this game since their offense shouldn't struggle putting up runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.
Blue Jays Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 26, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Dodgers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Toronto Blue Jays: 21-9 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 23-13 (+9 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. YUSEI KIKUCHI is 34-21 OVER in road games and 11-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-19 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 19-18 (-6.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 32-14 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 12-15 (-11.6 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters.
Key Injuries
Toronto Blue Jays: H. Ryu (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Green (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: J. Martinez (DH) Ques Tues - Hamstring. R. Pepiot (SP) Early Aug - Oblique. T. Cyr (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“Seems like these guys are tested mentally every night. Games are close. Games are tight. Hopefully that makes us a little more battle-tested down the road.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Monday.
“I thought we had a chance to get to Jackson. We couldn’t cash in. (Taylor is) sure-handed. Didn’t make the play right there. I thought the inning would have been different had he made the play. I thought Jason had a do-or-die play (and) just didn’t come up with it. But that’s not the reason we didn’t win.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) DH
Brandon Belt (L) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Santiago Espinal (R) SS
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
Chris Taylor (R) SS
James Outman (L) CF
Yonny Hernandez (S) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average: Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits: Bo Bichette (130)
Home Runs: Vladimir Guerrero (17)
RBI: Vladimir Guerrero (65)
Stolen Bases: Whit Merrifield (20)
Wins: Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves: Jordan Romano (28)
ERA: Genesis Cabrera (0.00)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (130)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: J.D. Martinez (73)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
