by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 24, 2023
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Tuesday, July 25, 2023
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +135, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +135, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays +135, Dodgers -155; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Toronto Blue Jays: 55-45 (3rd place, AL East)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 57-41 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win but lost their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-45 record overall and have a road record of 28-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 10th in the MLB with a .747 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Monday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 10-5 with a 3.92 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP against the San Diego Padres.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss but won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-41 record overall and have a home record of 29-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Michael Grove is their starting pitcher on Monday while Julio Urías is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 8 hits through 5 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.
Blue Jays vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been playing a lot better lately as they are making their way up the standings and also have a really good offense too. Their offense isn't as good as the Dodgers offense but the Blue Jays have definitely had some better pitching this season. The Blue Jays also have the better pitching matchup in this game and will be looking to take advantage of that as they get back on track in this series. The Dodgers have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately as they are rolling over everyone but Bassitt is on the mound for the Jays and he has been solid in his last few starts. He hasn't been giving up many runs at all and is also coming off a really good start in his last one. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are going with Urias in this game and he hasn't been great this season. He has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts all year and the Blue Jays offense has been getting hot again lately. The Blue Jays will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get here while the Dodgers have a tougher time putting up runs with the way Bassitt has been pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.
Blue Jays Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 25, 2023 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Dodgers 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Toronto Blue Jays: 20-9 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 22-13 (+8 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. CHRIS BASSITT is 11-4 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175.
Los Angeles Dodgers: 22-19 (-13.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -150 or more. 19-17 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 32-14 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 21-11 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Key Injuries
Toronto Blue Jays: D. Jansen (C) Ques Mon - Forearm. H. Ryu (SP) Prob Mon - Elbow. C. Green (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.
Los Angeles Dodgers: J. Martinez (DH) Out Mon - Hamstring. R. Pepiot (SP) Early Aug - Oblique. T. Cyr (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“It takes a certain kind of mindset to do that against the middle of their order. He seems to really kind of bear down and lock it in. He’s one of the best (closers) in the league for a reason.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Mariners in their game on Sunday.
“I see 92 (mps) on the radar gun, that shows me he’s being tentative, aiming the baseball and not being free and easy and attacking. You see a lot of noncompetitive pitches.” - Dave Roberts on Emmet Sheehan after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
Daulton Varsho (L) LF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Chris Taylor (R) LF
Max Muncy (L) 3B
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Jonny Deluca (R) RF
Austin Barnes (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average: Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits: Bo Bichette (130)
Home Runs: Vladimir Guerrero (17)
RBI: Vladimir Guerrero (64)
Stolen Bases: Whit Merrifield (20)
Wins: Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves: Jordan Romano (27)
ERA: Jay Jackson (0.75)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (129)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: J.D. Martinez (73)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
