Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/10/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Aug 09, 2023
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Thursday, August 10, 2023
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -122, Guardians +102; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -122, Guardians +102; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -122, Guardians +102; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  64-51 (3rd place, AL East)
Cleveland Guardians:  55-59 (2nd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  3-7 last 10



Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Blue Jays are entering this series on a 3 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-51 record overall and have a road record of 34-27. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Guardians on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday but lost the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-8 with a 5.72 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6.2 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Guardians are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-59 record overall and have a home record of 30-27. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday but won the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .691 OPS. Rookie pitcher Logan Allen is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Noah Syndergaard is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-5 with a 6.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 6 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 4 homers, and 0 BB with 3 strikeouts on 9 hits through 6 innings played against the Chicago White Sox.


Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been surging in their games lately as they try to get themselves into a playoff position. The Guardians have been doing the opposite lately as they were in the race for the AL Central but have been slipping down the division as they are in the middle of a slump. They also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB this season while the Blue Jays have a really good offense and they will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get in this game. The Blue Jays also have Manoah starting in this game and after a really rocky start to the season he has been pitching a lot better lately, not giving up many runs. Meanwhile, the Guardians are going with Syndergaard in this game and he has had his struggles all season while also dealing with injuries too. The Blue Jays are going to get after him for some runs here with how hot their offense has been over the last week and the Guardians don't have the offense to compete here, especially with Manoah pitching a lot better now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Blue Jays Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 10, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 5 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Toronto Blue Jays: 17-7 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 28-14 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10. 30-19 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 17-7 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians: 55-59 (-14.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 23-35 (-17 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 37-19 UNDER in home games. 11-6 UNDER against AL East opponents.

Key Injuries


Toronto Blue Jays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Late Aug - Elbow. H. Ryu (SP) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Richards (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. B. Bichette (SS) Mid Aug - Knee. J. Romano (RP) Mid Aug - Back. O. Lopez (2B) out for season - Oblique. C. Green (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.

Cleveland Guardians:  D. Fry (1B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Ramirez (3B) day-to-day - Poss. Suspension. J. Naylor (1B) Late Sept - Oblique. T. Freeman (3B) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Bieber (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. C. Quantrill (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“That's a couple nights in a row now. I think they’re understanding their stuff will play.” - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday. 


“Give credit to that young cat right there. We had a chance in the third there with George and Varsh. He made big pitches there, a right-on-right changeup to George and a back-foot slider to Varsh. That’s the difference.” - John Schneider on Tanner Bibee after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Toronto Blue Jays
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
George Springer (R) RF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B
Santiago Espinal (R) 3B
Paul DeJong (R) SS

Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) DH
Ramon Laureano (R) RF
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS
Gabriel Arias (R) 1B
Bo Naylor (L) C
Myles Straw (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Davis Schneider (.529)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (144)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (18)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (69)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (21)
Wins:  Chris Bassitt (11)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (28)
ERA:  Jay Jackson (0.47)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Ramon Laureano (.333)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (123)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (18)
RBI:  Josh Naylor (79)
Stolen Bases:  Andres Gimenez (18)
Wins:  Tanner Bibee (8)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (30)
ERA:  Konnor Pilkington (0.00)

Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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