Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/06/2023

Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, August 6, 2023

Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA

Where to Watch:  NESN

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +130, Red Sox -155; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +130, Red Sox -155; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays +130, Red Sox -155; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Toronto Blue Jays:  61-50 (3rd place, AL East)

Boston Red Sox:  57-52 (4th place, AL East)

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Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10

Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-50 record overall and have a road record of 31-26. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .748 OPS. José Berríos is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Chris Bassitt is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 10-6 with a 4.00 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Seattle Mariners 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-52 record overall and have a home record of 30-24. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .763 OPS. John Schreiber is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Chris Murphy is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 1 strikeout on 4 hits through 3.1 innings played against the San Francisco Giants but this will be his 1st start of the season and his MLB career.

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Blue Jays have been rolling in their games lately as they are surging up the AL East and trying to secure a playoff spot. Their offense has been good lately and their pitching has even been a lot better while the Red Sox have had some bad pitching all season and have been struggling in their games lately in the middle of a slump right now. The Blue Jays have Bassitt starting in this game too and he has been a lot better in his starts lately, not giving up as many runs over the last month. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are going with Chris Murphy in this game who hasn't made a start this season and even if this ends up being a bullpen day for the Red Sox, that can only help the Jays since the Red Sox bullpen has been terrible. The Blue Jays have also been getting beat up on by the Red Sox this year so they are going to be coming for some revenge here after getting swept in the first 2 series of the season against them. The value is with the Blue Jays here since they have been the better team in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays to win this game.

Blue Jays Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, August 6, 2023 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 6 Red Sox 3.

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Toronto Blue Jays: 61-50 (-5.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 9-23 (-22 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 18-8 UNDER in the second half of the season. CHRIS BASSITT is 15-7 UNDER in all games.

Boston Red Sox: 57-52 (+5.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 16-12 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 7-4 UNDER at home when the total is 10 to 10.5. 14-4 UNDER when playing on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays:  T. Richards (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. B. Bichette (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Romano (RP) Mid Aug - Back. O. Lopez (2B) out for season - Oblique. J. Jackson (RP) Out indefinitely - Personal. C. Green (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.

Boston Red Sox:  T. Story (2B) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Turner (DH) Ques Sat - Heel. G. Whitlock (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. J. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Ort (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. C. Sale (SP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Mills (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Houck (SP) Mid Aug - Face. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“I was smiling the whole way around the bases and into the dugout. The guys on the team, they made me feel welcome as soon as I stepped foot in the locker room. Having them cheer me on as I came back in was pretty special.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Red Sox in their game on Friday.

“Location-wise, he was off. The secondary pitches weren’t great today. He had to be creative and try to give us as much as possible, which he did. It was a 4-2 game when he came out. Even without his best stuff, he still gave us a chance to win.” - Alex Cora on James Paxton after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Friday.

Whit Merrifield (R) LF

George Springer (R) RF

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Danny Jansen (R) C

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Davis Schneider (R) 2B

Paul DeJong (R) SS

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Jarren Duran (L) LF

Alex Verdugo (L) RF

Masataka Yoshida (L) DH

Rafael Devers (L) 3B

Adam Duvall (R) CF

Triston Casas (L) 1B

Connor Wong (R) C

Luis Urias (R) 2B

Yu Chang (R) SS

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.500)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (144)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (18)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (69)

Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (21)

Wins:  Chris Bassitt (10)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (28)

ERA:  Jay Jackson (0.53)

Batting Average:  Luis Urias (.333)

Hits:  Masataka Yoshida (114)

Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (25)

RBI:  Rafael Devers (76)

Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (23)

Wins:  Brayan Bello (8)

Saves:  Kenley Jansen (24)

ERA:  Chris Martin (1.57)

Managers:

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)

Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)