Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 27, 2025
Venue: Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch: Sportsnet, NESN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays -105, Red Sox -115; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays -105, Red Sox -115; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Blue Jays -105, Red Sox -115; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Toronto Blue Jays: 42-37 (3rd place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox: 40-42 (4th place, AL East)
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Toronto Blue Jays: 4-6 last 10
Boston Red Sox: 4-6 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis
The Blue Jays lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1. They enter this game with a 42-37 record overall and have a road record of 17-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Thursday. The Blue Jays won the series opener of that series on Tuesday and lost the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .725 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Thursday while José Berríos is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 5 SO on 2 hits through 7.2 IP against the Chicago White Sox.
The Red Sox are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-42 record overall and have a home record of 22-17. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Richard Fitts was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Brayan Bello is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 6 innings pitched against the San Francisco Giants.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
The current betting odds have the Red Sox listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Sox haven't looked great in their games this season with their 40-42 record overall which has them near the bottom of the AL East. They have looked a lot better in their own ballpark though with their 22-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have looked good in their games this season with their 42-37 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 17-21 road record this season. Neither team has been hot lately as both teams are 4-6 in their last 10 games and both are going to have solid starters on the mound too. Berrios is on the mound for the Blue Jays and he hasn't looked bad this year. He is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA and is coming off a great start in which he didn't give up any runs. The team has also had a lot of success with him lately, winning 4 of the last 5 games he started in. The Red Sox are going with Bello in this one and he has also looked good this year. He is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and is coming off a great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run. The team has been struggling with him on the mound lately, losing 4 of the last 5 games he started in, but the Red Sox do have one of the best offenses in the MLB and they will be looking to get hot again after a road trip where they struggled. These two teams have been really similar lately, but the Red Sox have the edge here at home with the better offense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Sox to win this game.
Blue Jays Red Sox Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 27, 2025 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 4 Blue Jays 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Toronto Blue Jays: 204-200 (-26.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 102-111 (-11.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 52-74 (-29.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 9-4 UNDER on the road vs. poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game.
Boston Red Sox: 74-73 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 64-52 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 26-21 (+4.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 31-21 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Key Injuries
Toronto Blue Jays: B. Francis (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. D. Varsho (CF) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. A. Santander (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. Y. Garcia (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. R. Burr (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. A. Manoah (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Bastardo (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Boston Red Sox: H. Dobbins (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Hicks (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Toe. J. Winckowski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Knee. T. Casas (1B) Sixty Day IL - Knee. J. Slaten (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. L. Hendriks (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Hip. A. Bregman (3B) Ten Day IL - Quad. M. Yoshida (LF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. K. Crawford (SP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. T. Houck (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Flexor. C. Murphy (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. P. Sandoval (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“There were so many positives to take out of that. I think going forward for us, that’s a really, really good sign.” - John Schneider on Max Scherzer after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.
“It’s one of those that sucks, right? Because we were talking about how deep we were in Spring Training and the options that we had in the starting rotation, and now it’s getting thinner and thinner.” - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the LA Angels in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Toronto Blue Jays
Bo Bichette (R) DH
Nathan Lukes (L) RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Addison Barger (L) 3B
Ernie Clement (R) SS
Andrés Giménez (L) 2B
Jonatan Clase (S) LF
Tyler Heineman (S) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
Boston Red Sox
Rob Refsnyder (R) DH
Jarren Duran (L) LF
Romy Gonzalez (R) 1B
Carlos Narváez (R) C
Wilyer Abreu (L) RF
Trevor Story (R) SS
Ceddanne Rafaela (R) CF
Marcelo Mayer (L) 2B
Nate Eaton (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average: Tyler Heineman (.388)
Hits: Bo Bichette (93)
Home Runs: Bo Bichette (11)
RBI: Bo Bichette (48)
Stolen Bases: Andrés Giménez (9)
Wins: Chris Bassitt (7)
Saves: Jeff Hoffman (17)
ERA: Justin Bruihl (0.00)
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average: Nate Eaton (.500)
Hits: Jarren Duran (87)
Home Runs: Wilyer Abreu (13)
RBI: Trevor Story (41)
Stolen Bases: Jarren Duran (15)
Wins: Garrett Crochet (7)
Saves: Aroldis Chapman (14)
ERA: Nick Burdi (0.00)
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Álex Cora (5th season)