Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Apr 20, 2022
Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Thursday, April 21, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -130, Red Sox +110; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  6-5 (1st place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  6-5 (2nd place, AL East)
 
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  5-5 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Thursday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. José Berríos is the starting pitcher for them on Wednesday while Kevin Gausman will be on the mound for them here on Thursday. He is 0-1 with a 4.22 ERA this season. His team lost their last game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 0 BB with 9 Ks on 6 hits in 5.2 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 13 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just tied their 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-2 and they are playing the series finale of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday night. This will be the 3rd game of the series on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. Nick Pivetta is the starter for them on Wednesday while Tanner Houck will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Thursday. He is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 games with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 2 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

The Red Sox are coming into this game as a slight underdog at home here with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been starting to hit the ball very well in their recent games and their pitching has also been a lot better. The Jays were unable to capitalize on their opportunities in that game while the Red Sox did and a few of the batters for the Jays have also been struggling to hit the ball recently. The Red Sox have been hitting the ball well in their last few games and they have Houck on the mound here who is having a very good start to the season. The Red Sox should be able to take advantage of this pitching matchup with how well they have been hitting recently and they will make the Blue Jays pay in this game if they get on base. The best bet here is on the Red Sox to close out this series at home with a win.
 
Blue Jays Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, April 21, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Red Sox 6 Blue Jays 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Toronto Blue Jays: 85-57 (-7.4 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 82-74 (-12.8 Units) ML when the total is 8.5 to 10. 60-36 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Boston Red Sox: 128-116 (+3.3 ) ML in all games. 82-65 (+12.3 ) ML against right-handed starters. 5-1 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Blue Jays:  H. Ryu (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm injury. T. Hernandez (RF) Out indefinitely - Oblique injury. D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique injury.
Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Early June - Ribs injury. K. Plawecki (C) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Houck (SP) day-to-day - Personal.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think it's a good opportunity, but the main objective is just to win, win as many games as we can, and while I'm here that's what I'm going to do. If I perform well and we win, it's even better." - Connor Wong on their win against the Blue Jays on Monday.
 
 
"It seemed like a playoff game, right? And I managed it like a playoff game. I went for the win.” - Alex Cora on his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Tuesday night.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Zack Collins (L) DH
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Raimel Tapia (L) RF
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Trevor Story (R) 2B
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Bobby Dalbec (R) 1B
Christian Arroyo (R) RF
Connor Wong (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.571)
Hits:  Vladimir Guerrero (13)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (5)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (10)
Stolen Bases:  Santiago Espinal (2)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (3)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (6)
ERA:  Jordan Romano (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Alex Verdugo (.333)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (15)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (3)
RBI:  Alex Verdugo (8)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Jake Diekman (0.00)
 
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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