Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/20/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Apr 19, 2022
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Wednesday, April 20, 2022
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -150, Red Sox +130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -150, Red Sox +130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -150, Red Sox +130; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
 

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 (1st place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  5-5 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  6-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Toronto Blue Jays Analysis

The Blue Jays are coming into this game with a 6-4 record overall and they are 2-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just won their 3-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-1, had Monday off as a rest day, and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Red Sox on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Yusei Kikuchi is the starting pitcher for them on Tuesday while José Berríos will be on the mound for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-0 with a 11.81 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 3 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits in 5 IP against the New York Yankees. They scored 13 runs in their last series averaging just over 4 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging just under 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Boston Red Sox Analysis

The Red Sox are coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 2-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. They just tied their 4-game series against the Minnesota Twins 2-2 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Wednesday night. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Nathan Eovaldi is the starter for them on Tuesday while Nick Pivetta will be throwing the first pitch for them here on Wednesday. He is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 games with him as the starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 2 strikeouts on 5 hits through 2 innings played against the Minnesota Twins. They scored 19 runs in their last series averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 17 runs against them averaging just over 4 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction

The Blue Jays are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. The Jays have been heating up in their recent games to start the season and they have been smashing the ball in most of their games, scoring a lot of runs so far. Their pitching has been alright but mainly their bullpen has been a lot better than the starting rotation. They have Berrios starting in this game and he is coming off of 2 bad starts already but his team still rallied in both games and won them by racking up a bunch of hits and runs. They are going up against a Red Sox team that has not been good to start the season and has had problems hitting the ball in their games. They also have Pivetta on the mound here and he is coming off 2 even worse starts than Berrios. Both of these teams can smash the ball and the starting pitchers for both are not that great so this game will likely have a lot of runs in it and go over the total. The Blue Jays have been hitting much better than the Red Sox though and more consistently while their bullpen has been better as well so the best bet here besides the over is on the Blue Jays to edge out the Red Sox here and win this game.
 
Blue Jays Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, April 20, 2022 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Red Sox 6.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Toronto Blue Jays: 30-29 (-12 Units) ML as a favorite of -125 to -175. JOSE BERRIOS is 6-14 (-12.2 Units) ML when the money line is -100 to -150. 33-23 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175.
Boston Red Sox: 33-26 (+12.4 Units) ML when the total is 7 to 8.5. 82-65 (+12.3 Units) ML against right-handed starters. 17-11 OVER as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Toronto Blue Jays:  H. Ryu (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm injury. T. Hernandez (RF) Out indefinitely - Oblique injury. D. Jansen (C) Out indefinitely - Oblique injury.
Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) Early June - Ribs injury. K. Plawecki (C) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Houck (SP) day-to-day - Personal.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He doesn't back down from anybody. When he gets in trouble, he goes from 92 to 94." - Charlie Montoyo on his team’s win against the Athletics on Sunday.
 
 
"For him to go out there and compete, that was good enough for us. Obviously, the two swings, right, the homers. Besides that, changing speeds, using the breaking ball, gave us more than enough the way he started." - Alex Cora after his team’s loss against the Twins on Monday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Zack Collins (L) DH
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Alejandro Kirk (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) RF
 
Boston Red Sox
Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Alex Verdugo (L) LF
Christian Arroyo (R) 2B
Travis Shaw (L) 1B
Christian Vazquez (R) C
Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) RF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Danny Jansen (.571)
Hits:  George Springer (11)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (5)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (10)
Stolen Bases:  Santiago Espinal (2)
Wins:  Adam Cimber (3)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (6)
ERA:  Jordan Romano (0.00)
 
Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Rafael Devers (.349)
Hits:  Rafael Devers (15)
Home Runs:  Alex Verdugo (3)
RBI:  Alex Verdugo (8)
Stolen Bases:  N/A
Wins:  Garrett Whitlock (1)
Saves:  Jake Diekman (1)
ERA:  Jake Diekman (0.00)
 
Managers:
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (4th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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