Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/11/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 4:35 pm ET, Saturday, September 11, 2021
Venue:  Oriole Park, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -235, Orioles +190; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays -235, Orioles +190; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Blue Jays NL, Orioles NL; Over/Under:  NL runs

Season Record

Toronto Blue Jays:  77-62 (4th place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  45-94 (5th place, AL East)
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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Toronto Blue Jays:  9-1 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  5-5 last 10

Offensive Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays are ranked 2 in the league for batting average (.264), 3 in the league for RBI (683), 3 in the league for hits (1239), and they are ranked 4 in the league for OBP (.330). The Baltimore Orioles are ranked 18 in the league for batting average (.239), 26 in the league for RBI (551), 16 in the league for hits (1117), and they are ranked 26 in the league for OBP (.303).

Defensive Analysis

The Toronto Blue Jays are ranked 10 in the league for ERA (3.83), 24 in the league for saves (27), 13 in the league for strikeouts (1256), and they are ranked 10 in the league for WHIP (1.23). The Baltimore Orioles are ranked 30 in the league for ERA (5.75), 28 in the league for saves (21), 27 in the league for strikeouts (1096), and they are ranked 30 in the league for WHIP (1.47).


Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are taking on the Baltimore Orioles in this matchup on Saturday. The first game of this four-game series is still to be played on Friday with the result pending, Robbie Ray and Chris Ellis starting in that one. This will be game 1 of a double header on Saturday. The Blue Jays are currently on an 8 game winning streak after a four-game sweep of the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in their last series. The Baltimore Orioles are 2-2 in their last 4 games after tying their last series with the Kansas City Royals.

The Jays are on an 8 game winning streak and have won 11 of their last 12 games. They are coming into this game after a series sweep of the Yankees winning their last game 6-4 against the. Right-hander Hyun Jin Ryu will be the starting pitcher on the mound for this game and he is 13-8 with a 3.77 ERA this season. The team has actually lost 2 of the last 3 games that he has started in. He had a few bad games in his last few starts but has slowly bounced back pitching much better now. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 6 IP. He will want to back up that good performance with another. He has seen the Orioles lineup 4 times this season and the Jays are 3-1 in games he starts against them. He has been hit or miss in those games though allowing an average of around 3 runs per game when facing them. The Jays have scored 5 or more runs in each of their last 8 games and are just on fire right now.

The Orioles are coming into this game after a 6-0 loss to the Royals on Thursday. That loss snapped the little 2 game win streak they were on. Keegan Akin will be the starter throwing the first pitch for Baltimore in that game on Saturday and he is 2-8 with a 7.00 ERA this season. He has been credited with 2 straight wins and his team has actually won their last 3 games when he was the starter. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 of those being a HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 3 hits in just 4 innings of work. He also hit a batter in that game. His accuracy has not been the greatest this year. He has seen this Jays lineup twice this season and his team is 1-1 in the games he played in. He played well in the last, only allowing 1 ER but he also allowed 6 runs in the first game that he saw them in. The Orioles offense seems to be hit or miss as they scored 16 runs in 2 games against the Royals but followed that up with a scoreless loss the very next game. Who knows which Baltimore team shows up on Saturday.

The Orioles are one of the worst teams in the MLB and they are catching the Jays at the worst time. The Jays are on a very hot roll right now and no one wants to step in front of them as they are on a mission to make the playoffs with the Oakland Athletics in their rear view mirror. Baltimore has a terrible pitcher starting while Toronto has their ace up. Toronto should come away with an easy win here between their good pitching rotation, bullpen and the hot batters so they should be worth a bet even on the runline.

Blue Jays Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, September 11, 2021 (4:35 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends

Toronto Blue Jays: 21-8 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -175 to -250.  28-21 (+6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5.
Baltimore Orioles: 8-30 (-17.4 units) on the moneyline as a home underdog of +125 or more. 15-37 (-18.7 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries

Toronto Blue Jays:  George Springer (RF) Ques Fri - Knee injury. A. Kay (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. H. Ryu (SP) day-to-day - Forearm injury. C. Biggio (2B) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. S. Espinal (2B) Out indefinitely - Hip Flexor injury.
Baltimore Orioles:  R. Urias (SS)Ques Fri - Leg injury. M. Harvey (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. H. Harvey (RP) Mid Sept - Back injury. J. Lopez (SP) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury. B. Zimmermann (SP) out for season - Bicep injury.

Players to Watch

Toronto Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr is one player to watch in this one. He is the best player offensively for the Jays. He leads the team in batting average, hits, RBI, and home runs. Expect him to make a big impact here as he looks to leave his mark in this game trying to help his team make a run for a playoff spot.
Baltimore Orioles: Cedric Mullins is one player to watch in this game for Baltimore. He leads his team in almost every offensive category such as batting average, hits, home runs, and stolen bases. If Baltimore is to win this game he will be a big part as he seems to be their best player out there.

Notable Quotes

"It's special. We feel like everybody can contribute in a lot of different ways." - Bo Bichette after the Jays completed a four-game sweep over the Yankees.
"He was really good. Besides the homer to Lopez early and the double to Dozier there in the eighth inning, he was (in) complete command." - Brandon Hyde on the performance of John Mean in their last game.

Starting Lineups

Toronto Blue Jays
B. Bichette (SS)
M. Semien (2B)
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B)
T. Hernandez (RF)
A. Kirk (DH)
L. Gurriel Jr. (LF)
R. Grichuk (CF)
D. Jansen (C)
K. Smith (3B)
Baltimore Orioles
C. Mullins (CF)
R. Mountcastle (1B)
A. Santander (RF)
T. Mancini (DH)
D. Stewart (LF)
P. Severino (C)
J. Mateo (SS)
J. Jones (2B)
K. Gutierrez (3B)

Statistical Leaders

Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.319)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (165)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (42)
RBI:  V. Guerrero Jr. (100)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (22)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (16)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  C. Mullins (.303)
Hits:  C. Mullins (159)
Home Runs:  C. Mullins (27)
RBI:  R. Mountcastle (77)
Stolen Bases:  C. Mullins (26)
Wins:  M. Harvey (6)
Saves:  C. Sulser (6)
ERA:  C. Ellis (2.16)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

77 degrees F mostly sunny, 51% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds N.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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