Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, November 25, 2022
Venue: Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo, MI
Where to Watch: ESPNU
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Toledo -8, WMU +8; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Toledo -7.5, WMU +7.5; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Toledo -7.5, WMU +7.5; Over/Under: 53 points
Toledo Rockets: 7-4 (5-2) (1st place, MAC West)
Western Michigan Broncos: 4-7 (3-4) (5th place, MAC West)
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Toledo Rockets: lost their last game at home against the Bowling Green Falcons 42-35.
Western Michigan Broncos: won their last game on the road against the Central Michigan Chippewas 12-10.
Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos Preview and Analysis
Toledo is entering this game with a 7-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th road game of the season here as they are 2-3 in their road games this year. This will also be their 8th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 5-2. They lost against the Bowling Green Falcons in their last game at home 42-35. Tucker Gleason started that game at QB and he completed 22/40 passes for 329 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Tucker Gleason led the team in rushing with 106 yards and 2 TDs on 17 rushing attempts. Devin Maddox led the team in receiving with 106 yards on 4 receptions. Dallas Gant led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. Dyontae Johnson, Jamal Hines, and Desjuan Johnson each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Desjuan Johnson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Western Michigan is entering this game with a 4-7 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 1-4 in their home games this year. This will also be the 8th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 3-4. They won against the Central Michigan Chippewas in their last game on the road 12-10. Treyson Bourguet started that game at QB and he completed 7/19 passes for 102 yards. Sean Tyler led the team in rushing with 177 yards and 1 TD on 26 carries. Corey Crooms led the team in receiving with 63 yards on 4 receptions. Andre Carter and Delano Ware each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles. Andre Carter led the defense in sacks with 2 while Keni-H Lovely came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Toledo vs Western Michigan Prediction
The current betting odds have Western Michigan listed as an 8 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. WMU just pulled off a huge upset as double digits underdog last week with their win on the road against CMU. The weather conditions in that game were not the best to play in but they still found a way to get it done. Toledo lost their game last week against BGSU and that was a bad loss for them to take at home but they were also playing with their backup QB in that game. There is a chance they will have to play with their backup QB again here but luckily for them, they have already clinched a trip to the MAC Championship since they have the head-to-head result over EMU so they will likely be looking ahead to that game and will try to rest some of their players to avoid injury as well. There is no need to risk further injury to their starting QB here when they will need him in the title game and WMU has been starting to get hot now with some momentum coming into this final game of the season at home. This is a better spot for WMU here and there is no reason for Toledo to try too hard here when they have a much more important game coming up. The best way to place a bet here is on Western Michigan to cover the spread in this game.
Toledo Western Michigan Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 25, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Toledo 23 WMU 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Toledo Rockets: 20-11 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 12-7 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite. 11-6 UNDER as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.
Western Michigan Broncos: 8-22 ATS as a home underdog. 7-13 ATS off an extremely close win by 3 points or less over a conference rival. 7-2 UNDER as an underdog.
Toledo Rockets: D. Finn (QB) Ques Fri - Leg.
Western Michigan Broncos: L. Jefferson (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
“I’m disappointed in the outcome of the football game.” - Jason Candle after his team’s loss against BGSU in their last game.
“We practiced in that exact same field yesterday. The guys executed fairly well, and I think that gave them a little bit of confidence. I kept hoping they were gonna clear (the snow), and when they did, it created even bigger problems.” - Tim Lester after his team’s win against CMU in their last game.
WR Newton, Jerjuan
WR Barkley, Mikel
WR Maddox, Devin
TE Turner, Jamal
QB Finn, Dequan
RB Stuart, Jacquez
Western Michigan Broncos
WR Sambucci, Anthony
WR Crooms, Corey
WR Galloway, Jehlani
TE Bosma, Blake
QB Bourguet, Treyson
RB Tyler, Sean
Passing: D. Finn (1943)
Rushing: J. Stuart (557)
Receiving: J. Newton (702)
Touchdowns: J. Newton (9)
Western Michigan Broncos
Passing: J. Salopek (1231)
Rushing: S. Tyler (896)
Receiving: C. Crooms (788)
Touchdowns: S. Tyler (7)
Toledo Rockets: Jason Candle (8th season)
Western Michigan Broncos: Tim Lester (6th season)