Momentum. Keep that word etched into your memory if you’re thinking about placing a wager on any sport. When a team is hot, give them the buy sign. If they’re not, simply shy away.
I took that simple train of thought and applied it to this week’s college card. At first, I was looking to see how some college football teams did off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. From there, with the help of my college football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I focused on those squads that achieved their success as favorites in both, dogs in each game, and as a favorite and an underdog. The best of what I discovered can be found in this week’s System of the Week – The Rich Keep Getting Richer. Take a look.
Since 1980, PLAY ON any home favorite priced at -10 or more, if they are coming off a road war, provided they won and covered their last two contests as double-digit favorites.
41-Year ATS Record = 107-57-4 ATS for 65.2 percent
This Week’s Play = OHIO STATE
The Buckeyes finally got their money train on the right track. Two weeks ago, Ohio State (-48.5) did just enough to cover the number against Akron. Last Saturday, head coach Ron Day and his kids were a -15-point road favorite at Rutgers and cashed easily 52-13. This week, OSU is laying -21 at home against Maryland and that means the Buckeyes are locked into this lucrative technical situation.
There is one special parameter that can be added to this general system that really increases its profitability. If our “play on” host destroyed the Las Vegas pointspread by double-digits last, this system tightens up to an eye-popping 70-27-2 ATS for 72.1 percent. Last Saturday, OSU was a -15-point favorite at Rutgers and won by 39 points. The Buckeyes smashed the Las Vegas number by 24 points in that victory which means they fit this tightener perfectly.
Good luck with the Buckeyes on Saturday.