by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 22, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Friday, November 24, 2023
Venue: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas Tech +12.5, Texas -12.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas Tech +12.5, Texas -12.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas Tech +12.5, Texas -12.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 6-5 (5-3) (6th place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns: 10-1 (7-1) (1st place, Big 12)
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Recent Form
Texas Tech Red Raiders: won their last game at home against the Central Florida Knights 24-23.
Texas Longhorns: won their last game on the road against the Iowa State Cyclones 26-16.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis
Texas Tech is entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 5-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UCF 24-23. Behren Morton was the starting QB and he completed 21/35 passes for 256 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 182 and 1 TD. Xavier White led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jacob Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. CJ Baskerville came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Texas is entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 7-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 5-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Iowa State 26-16. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 23/33 passes for 281 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. CJ Baxter led the team in rushing yards with 117. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Byron Murphy II led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jerrin Thompson came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Texas Tech vs Texas Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 12.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-1 record overall and their 7-1 conference record. Their only loss this season was against Oklahoma but they do have a win in Alabama earlier this year and are still holding out hope of being in the college football playoff. They are 5-0 in their home games too while Texas Tech is only 2-3 in their road games this season and have struggled more in road games going back to last season too. They are only 6-5 overall this season with their 5-3 record in conference games and since they are already bowl eligible but can't make it to the Big 12 Championship, they don't really have anything to play for here. This game still has meaning to Texas though as they are trying to get to the Big 12 Championship and show that they are one of the best teams in the country, worthy of the CFP. Texas won't be taking their foot off the gas in this last home game of the season. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game.
Texas Tech Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 24, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 38 Texas Tech 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 16-28 ATS off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival. 6-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 10-5 UNDER in road games. 9-3 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game. 5-1 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.
Texas Longhorns: 11-6 ATS in home games. 9-4 ATS off 2 consecutive road wins. 5-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 8-2 UNDER as a favorite. 12-6 UNDER in home games. 19-10 UNDER after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game.
Key Injuries
Texas Tech Red Raiders: T. Shough (QB) Early Dec - Leg. B. Burris (DL) Early Dec - Knee. M. Price (WR) Prob Fri - Shoulder. S. Linton (LB) Ques Fri - Back. T. Owens (DB) Ques Fri - Ankle. C. Robinson (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle. W. Smith (LB) out for season - Back. I. Smith (LB) out for season - Knee.
Texas Longhorns: X. Worthy (WR) Prob Fri - Undisclosed. J. Brooks (RB) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Whenever I first got this job, I asked the players to understand that this program has been bowl eligible and so (this game) was a big part of continuing to build this program, having this mindset of what’s next and where can we go.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against UCF in their last game.
“This was not one phase or one aspect. This was a lot of different players making plays tonight, making plays in some pretty critical moments.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against ISU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Eakin, Coy
WR Bradley, Jerand
WR McCray, Drae
WR Price, Myles
TE Tharp, Mason
QB Morton, Behren
RB Brooks, Tahj
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Mitchell, Adonai
WR Whittington, Jordan
TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion
QB Ewers, Quinn
RB Brooks, Jonathon
Statistical Leaders
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: B. Morton (1410)
Rushing: T. Brooks (1352)
Receiving: X. White (470)
Touchdowns: T. Brooks (9)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: Q. Ewers (2513)
Rushing: J. Brooks (1139)
Receiving: X. Worthy (834)
Touchdowns: J. Brooks (11)
Coaches:
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (2nd season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
