Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  DKR Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +7.5, Texas -7.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +8.5, Texas -8.5; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +7.5, Texas -7.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Season Record

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  3-0 (3rd place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns:  2-1 (8th place, Big 12)
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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won at home on Sep. 18 against FIU 54-21.
Texas Longhorns:  won at home on Sep. 18 against Rice 58-0.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis

Texas Tech is coming into this college football game with a 3-0 record overall and will be playing their first conference game of the season with no more non-conference games left on their schedule. They have played in 1 game away from home this season but that game was on a neutral site as they defeated the Houston Cougars. Their 2 home wins came against the SFA Lumberjacks and the FIU Panthers in their last game. Tyler Shough played great in that game as he completed 26/35 passes for 399 yards and 4 touchdowns. The run game did not have a big day as Tahj Brooks led the team in rushing with 47 yards on 9 carries. The receiving corps had a nice day as Kaylon Geiger led the receivers with 121 yards on 6 receptions. Mason Tharp also had 61 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 3 receptions. Colin Schooler led the defense with 4 solo tackles. Jacob Morgenstem and Troy Te'o both had 1 sack each in that game while Marquis Waters came away with the only interception for the defense in that game. They have scored 120 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 64 points against them. The Texas Tech offense is averaging 441 YPG while their defense is allowing 290.7 YPG.

Texas Longhorns Analysis

Texas is coming into this matchup with a 2-1 record overall and is 2-0 when playing in their home games which they will be here. This will be their first conference game of the schedule. Their loss came against the Arkansas Razorbacks while their 2 wins came against the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns in their season opener and the Rice Owls in their last game. Casey Thompson played alright in that game completing 15/18 passes for 164 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Their run game had a huge day in that game. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing with 127 yards and 3 touchdowns on 13 carries while Roschon Johnson was right behind him with 112 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 3 carries. Keilan Robinson also 83 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 5 carries. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 88 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. D'Shawn Jamison led the defense with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. DJ Harris JR., Ovie Oghoufo, and Byron Murphy II all had 1 sack each in that game and no one on the defense had an interception in that game. They have scored 117 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 58 points against them. Their offense is averaging 437 YPG while their defense is averaging 371 YPG. 


Texas Tech vs Texas Prediction

Draftkings sportsbook has the total set at 61.5 in this game. Both of these teams have some potent offenses that are going to find ways around the defenses and get into the end zone. This is a Texas rivalry game as well so everytime one team scores the other is going to try and 1-up them. This game will have a lot of scoring in it as it turns into a shootout quickly. The best bet to make in this game is the over as it will be very high scoring.
Texas Tech Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 42 Texas Tech 35.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert college football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Texas Tech Red Raiders Texas Longhorns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends

Texas Tech Red Raiders: 10-14 ATS in all games. 0-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points.
Texas Longhorns: 2-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 9-7 ATS as a favorite.

Key Injuries

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  S. Thompson (RB) Ques Sat - Shoulder injury.
Texas Longhorns:  T. Omeire (WR) Out Sat - Knee injury. J. Barron (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Liebrock (TE) out for season - Shoulder injury.

Players to Watch

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Erik Ezukanma is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in receiving yards and has already had some big plays in this college football season. The other coach has expressed his worry for defending him so look for him to burn the defense in this game and make some longer plays.
Texas Longhorns: Their 2 quarterbacks are both players to watch here. Casey Thompson is the starter right now but that could change at any instant as Hudson Card was the starter just a game ago. Texas is still trying to figure out what they have in both of them so look for them to keep playing their best trying to win this job for good.

Notable Quotes

“It wasn’t clean on offense, and I’ll take the blame on that. In a game where we didn’t play real crisp on offense, we fought at the end. We popped a couple of runs in the third quarter where we fit it up well.” - Head coach Matt Wells after a close win at home to SFA.
“I wanted to try and touch all three phases really. When you watched it, I thought there was really good execution offensively. We had a couple breakdowns in protection that we need to get cleaned up. I thought Xavier Worthy showed up. I thought we were able to get off the field on third down. We had a couple of punt returns that we’re close to getting out and then Cameron Dicker was fantastic…they didn’t have any returns. A lot of guys got to play and those are good building blocks moving forward.” - Steve Sarkisian on his team’s performance after their win against Rice.

Starting Lineups

Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Geiger Sr., Kaylon 
WR Ezukanma, Erik 
WR Mannix, McLane 
TE Koontz, Travis 
QB Shough, Tyler 
RB Thompson, SaRodorick 
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier 
WR Moore, Joshua 
WR Whittington, Jordan 
TE Brewer, Cade 
QB Thompson, Casey 
RB Robinson, Bijan 
RB Johnson, Roschon 

Statistical Leaders (Stats)

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: T. Shough (793)
Rushing: T. Brooks (296)
Receiving: E. Ezukanma (351)
Touchdowns: T. Brooks (4)
Sacks: J. Hutchings (2)
Tackles: C. Schooler (17)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: H. Card (314)
Rushing: B. Robinson (299)
Receiving: X. Worthy (163)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (5)
Sacks: O. Oghoufo (2)
Tackles: D. Overshown (11)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Matt Wells (3rd season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (1st year)

Weather Forecast

84 degrees F mostly sunny, 44% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds S.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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