Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas Tech +19, Oklahoma -19; Over/Under: 66.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas Tech +19.5, Oklahoma -19.5; Over/Under: 66.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas Tech +19.5, Oklahoma -19.5; Over/Under: 67 points
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 5-3 (6th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma Sooners: 8-0 (1st place, Big 12)
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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
Texas Tech Red Raiders: lost at home on Oct. 23 against the Kansas State Wildcats 25-24.
Oklahoma Sooners: won on the road on Oct. 23 against the Kansas Jayhawks 35-23.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis
Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are in a bad spot right now with a 2-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the Kansas Jayhawks and the West Virginia Mountaineers while their 3 losses came against the Texas Longhorns, the TCU Horned Frogs, and against KSU in their last game. Texas Tech played well in the first half of that game going into halftime with a lead but they came out in the second half and did nothing as they were shut out completely allowing KSU to make a comeback and win by 1 point. Henry Colombi did not have a good game in that one as he completed 10/17 passes for 148 yards and 1 interception. SaRodorick Thompson led the team in rushing with 47 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries while Erik Ezukanma also ran in 1 TD on the ground. Myles Price led the receivers in that game with 64 yards on 4 receptions in what was a quiet day for the receiving corps. Eric Monroe led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones. Tyree Wilson led the defense in sacks recording the only 2 in that game for his team while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception. They have scored 274 points in their 8 games this season averaging 34.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 245 points against them allowing 30.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 438.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 385.3 YPG.
Oklahoma Sooners Analysis
Oklahoma is coming into this game with an 8-0 record overall and they are 5-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are leading the way right now with a 5-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 5 wins came against the West Virginia Mountaineers, the Kansas State Wildcats, the Texas Longhorns, the TCU Horned Frogs, and against Kansas in their last game. Oklahoma struggled in the first half of that game going into halftime down 10-0 to Kansas and they had to make a comeback in the second half to win the game. Caleb Williams struggled in that game as he completed 15/20 passes for 178 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Kennedy Brooks led the team in rushing with 79 yards and 2 touchdowns on 24 carries while Williams also ran in 1 TD himself. Eric Gray led the receivers with 42 yards on 3 receptions while Jadon Haselwood and Jeremiah Hall both caught the touchdown passes in that one with 1 each. Overall, it was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps in that one. Key Lawrence led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Nik Bonitto recorded the only sack for them in that game while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception. They have scored 334 points in their 8 games this season averaging 41.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 197 points against them allowing 24.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 469.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 385.3 YPG.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma Prediction
Texas Tech is coming into this game as a 19 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has not looked good in any of their games this year. They may be undefeated still but they have had some really close games that should not have been close at all and have come close to even losing in a few of their games. Texas Tech has played better in their last 2 games other than their second half performance in their last game. The undefeated teams are always games that teams will get up for and Texas Tech likely has this one circled on their calendar. The best bet to place in this game is on Texas Tech to cover the spread here as 19 points is a lot and Oklahoma has been struggling all year to win by large margins, they will not win this game by 20 or more points.
Texas Tech Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 35 Texas Tech 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 20-18 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 180-159 ATS in all games. 69-62 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 63. 34-25 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70. 79-76 ATS as an underdog. 76-73 ATS in road games. 128-110 ATS against conference opponents.
Oklahoma Sooners: 49-56 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 182-186 ATS in all games. 148-152 ATS as a favorite. 123-127 ATS against conference opponents.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: J. Morgenstern (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. A. Frye (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Bradford Jr. (DL) Ques Sat - Foot injury.
Oklahoma Sooners: J. Redmond (DL) Prob Sat - Knee injury. C. Jackson (WR) Ques Sat - Personal. J. Criddell (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
"The thing that hurt us was late in the game when we got the untimely penalties. The hands-to-the face — that's the one that really hurt." - Matt Wells on his team’s performance in the final minute of their heart-breaking loss to KSU in their last game.
"I'm excited for the win, but we played poor football in the first half. We couldn't get Kansas off the field and missed several opportunities. I give our team credit for rising up. Kansas deserves a lot of credit, and they did a few things that gave us trouble." - Lincoln Riley on his team’s performance in the first half of their last game against Kansas in a win that was a little too close for comfort.
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Geiger Sr., Kaylon
WR Ezukanma, Erik
WR Mannix, McLane
TE Koontz, Travis
QB Colombi, Henry
RB Thompson, SaRodorick
WR Haselwood, Jadon
WR Woods II, Michael
WR Mims, Marvin
HB Hall, Jeremiah
QB Rattler, Spencer
RB Brooks, Kennedy
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: H. Colombi (1214)
Rushing: S. Thompson (361)
Receiving: E. Ezukanma (508)
Touchdowns: S. Thompson (8)
Passing: S. Rattler (1371)
Rushing: K. Brooks (767)
Receiving: M. Mims (470)
Touchdowns: K. Brooks (9)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Matt Wells (3rd season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Lincoln Riley (5th season)