Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/01/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 1, 2025

Venue:  Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TTU -7, KSU +7; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TTU -7, KSU +7; Over/Under:  52.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TTU -7, KSU +7; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  7-1 (4-1) (3rd place, Big 12)

Kansas State Wildcats:  4-4 (3-2) (8th place, Big 12)

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Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 42-0.

Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game on the road against the Kansas Jayhawks 42-17.

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Oklahoma State 42-0. Will Hammond was the starting QB and he completed 9/15 passes for 102 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Cameron Dickey led the team in rushing yards with 47 and 1 TD. Caleb Douglas led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jacob Rodriguez led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Ansel Nedore led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Kansas State is entering this game with a 4-4 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Kansas 42-17. Avery Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 11/17 passes for 231 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Joe Jackson led the team in rushing yards with 69. Jayce Brown led the receivers with 160 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Desmond Purnell led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Desmond Purnell, Malcolm Alcorn-Crowder, and Ryan Davis each led the defense in sacks with 1. Gunner Maldonado and Daniel Cobbs each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked great in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 4-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. Their 1 loss was against Arizona State who is the defending champion of the conference, but they are off a 42-0 win over Oklahoma State in their last one and they still look like one of the best teams in the nation with the talent they have. Meanwhile, Kansas State hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 4-4 record overall and their 2-2 conference record which has them right in the middle of the Big 12. Kansas State was ranked entering the season, but they lost their season opener to Iowa State and their season has been a disaster since then. They aren't anywhere close to the team they were supposed to be and their offense has looked terrible at times. They have looked a lot better in their games lately, off a 42-17 road win over Kansas in their last one, but that was also a big emotional win over their rival. This isn't a great situation for them off that win and now playing against one of the best teams in the conference. Texas Tech has a lot more talent, but they are also going to be motivated to keep winning with BYU still being undefeated in the Big 12. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 1, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 38 Kansas State 20.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders: 20-13 ATS in all lined games. 10-5 ATS after playing a game at home. 14-8 ATS against conference opponents. 5-0 ATS against teams with a turnover margin of +1 per game or better. 37-25 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points.

Kansas State Wildcats: 3-7 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 4-8 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 5-1 OVER as an underdog. 10-2 OVER after playing their last game on the road. 9-5 OVER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  B. Morton (QB) Probable - Undisclosed. W. Hammond (QB) Out - Knee. T. West (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Jones (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Carter Jr. (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Zambrano (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Gill-Howard (DL) Out - Leg. D. Singleton (DL) Out - Undisclosed. Q. Joyner (RB) Out - Knee. M. Dingle Jr. (S) Out - Leg.

Kansas State Wildcats:  D. Edwards (RB) Questionable - Ankle. L. Simmering (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. McCalister (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Palmer (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Fitzpatrick (OG) Questionable - Personal. J. Vickers (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Price (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“I am so proud of our fans and and Red Raider Nation for, one, believing in this team and doing what we needed to do to help this team win. That’s the second game in a row, you look over at the student section, those towels are going crazy.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against OK State in their last game. 

“We dominated the football game from start to finish.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against Kansas in their last game. 

WR Virgil, Reggie

WR Douglas, Caleb

WR Eakin, Coy

TE Miller II, Johncarlos

QB Morton, Behren

RB Dickey, Cameron

WR Tibbs, Jaron

WR Bradley, Jerand

WR Brown, Jayce

TE Oakley, Garrett

TE Swanson, Will

QB Johnson, Avery

RB Jackson, Joe

Passing: Behren Morton (1,501)

Rushing: Cameron Dickey (678)

Receiving: Caleb Douglas (512)

Touchdowns: Cameron Dickey (10)

Passing: Avery Johnson (1,792)

Rushing: Joe Jackson (382)

Receiving: Jayce Brown (577)

Touchdowns: Avery Johnson (5)

Coaches:

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (4th season)

Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (7th season)