Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Game Preview and Prediction - 10/16/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue:  David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TT -16.5, Kansas +16.5; Over/Under:  66.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TT -16.5, Kansas +16.5; Over/Under:  66.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TT -16.5, Kansas +16.5; Over/Under:  66.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-2 (7th, Big 12)
Kansas Jayhawks:  1-4 (9th place, Big 12)
 
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Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Kansas Jayhawks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  lost at home on Oct. 9 against the TCU Horned Frogs 52-31.
Kansas Jayhawks:  lost on the road on Oct. 2 against the Iowa State Cyclones 59-7.
 
 
 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis

Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are not off to a good start with  a 1-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the West Virginia Mountaineers while their 2 losses came against the Texas Longhorns and TCU in their last game. They lost that game to TCU 52-31 in a game that they were completely dominated in from start to finish. Henry Colombi did not play bad but he did not play that good either as he completed 23/41 passes for 344 yards and 1 interception. SaRodorick Thompson had a great day on the ground as he led the team in rushing yards with 118 and 3 touchdowns on 18 carries. Xavier also ran in 1 TD with 51 rushing yards on 9 carries in that one. Kaylon Geiger led the receivers with 99 yards on 6 receptions while Thompson had 79 yards receiving as well on 2 receptions giving him well over 200 yards from scrimmage in that game. Dadrion Taylor led the defense with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. while Colin Schooler had 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception in that game. They have scored 209 points in their first 6 games averaging 34.8 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 206 points against them allowing 34.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 458 YPG while their defense is allowing 405.3 YPG.
 
 

Kansas Jayhawks Analysis

Kansas is coming into this game with a 1-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 3rd conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are already in a hole with a 0-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 losses came against the Baylor Bears and ISU in their last game. They lost that game 59-7 and were dominated from the start with no chance of coming back after going down 28-0 in the 1st quarter alone. They were on a bye last week so they have had an extra week to prepare for this game. Jason Bean struggled in their last one as he completed 10/20 passes for 120 yards and 1 interception. Devin Neal led the team in rushing with 83 yards on 15 carries while Torry Locklin had the only TD on the ground with 39 rushing yards on 12 carries. Trevor Wilson led the receivers with 55 yards on 3 receptions in that one in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Jacobee Bryant led the defense with 5 solo tackles Ricky Thomas was right behind with 4 solo tackles. Kyron Johnson had the only sack in that game for their defense and no one was able to come away with an interception for them in that game. They have scored 86 points in their first 5 games averaging 17.2 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 219 points against them allowing 43.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 336 YPG while their defense is allowing 493.8 YPG.
 

 

Texas Tech vs Kansas Prediction

Texas Tech is coming into this game as a 16.5 point favorite with the total set at 66.5 points with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas is a very bad team and they have been at the bottom of the Big 12 conference for years now. Their defense has been getting shredded this season allowing a lot of yards against them and a lot of points. Texas Tech has been struggling in their games against the better teams but their offense is till scoring points and moving the ball well and they have been laying a hurt on the lesser teams when they have played them this year. Texas Tech does not have a good defense though and that is what is losing them games against the better teams and allowing the lesser ones to score more points against them than they should be allowing. The best bet to make in this game is on the over as Texas Tech will likely get close to the number themselves and their defense is so bad Kansas is bound to score some points on them as well. This will be a high scoring game between the two sides.
 
Texas Tech Kansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 56 Kansas 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Texas Tech Red Raiders Kansas Jayhawks prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 179-159 ATS in all games. 33-19 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 100-83 ATS as a favorite. 127-110 ATS against conference opponents.
Kansas Jayhawks: 24-40 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 138-184 ATS in all games. 89-131 ATS as an underdog. 41-54 ATS as a home underdog. 76-91 ATS in home games. 99-136 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  T. Brooks (RB) Ques Sat - Leg injury. C. Townsend (RB) out for season - Chest injury. M. Waters (DB) out for season - Pectoral injury. T. Shough (QB) Late Nov - Upper Body injury.
Kansas Jayhawks:  K. Terry (WR) Out Indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. D. Hishaw Jr. (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Henry Colombi is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in passing yards after taking over for Tyler Shough. He did not play well in their last game and he will need to step it up and play better in this game. This is a game that they should be able to win by a lot in so look for him to lead this offense and have a much better game.
 
Kansas Jayhawks: Jason Bean is one player to watch here. He leads his team in both passing and in rushing yards and he will need to do a better job of leading their offense. He has not played well and the entire team is having another bad year. Look for him to try and turn things around in this game as the offensive troubles start with him.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We played cruddy defense ... The bottom line is, we didn't stop the run. Offensively we moved the ball well at times, but not very smooth early." - Matt Wells on their loss to TCU in their last game.
 
 
 
“Believe in the plan, got to trust the process.” - Lance Leipold on his team’s awful start to the season and in their conference games so far.
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Geiger Sr., Kaylon 
WR Ezukanma, Erik 
WR Mannix, McLane 
TE Koontz, Travis 
QB Colombi, Henry 
RB Thompson, SaRodorick 
 
Kansas Jayhawks
WR Wilson, Trevor 
WR McBride, Steven 
WR Lassiter II, Kwamie 
TE Fairchild, Mason 
QB Bean, Jason 
RB Neal, Devin 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: H. Colombi (942)
Rushing: T. Brooks (284)
Receiving: E. Ezukanma (429)
Touchdowns: S. Thompson (6)
Sacks: J. Hutchings (3)
Tackles: C. Schooler (33)
 
Kansas Jayhawks
Passing: J. Bean (852)
Rushing: J. Bean (291)
Receiving: T. Wilson (271)
Touchdowns: L. Arnold (2)
Sacks: K. Johnson (2.5)
Tackles: K. Logan Jr. (23)
 
Coaches:
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Matt Wells (3rd season)
Kansas Jayhawks: Lance Leipold (1st season)
 

Weather Forecast

66 degrees F sunny, 55% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 10 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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