Texas Tech Red Raiders vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/07/2026

Game Time: 10:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 7, 2026

Venue:  J. Willard Marriott Center (MC), Provo, UT

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TTU -1.5, BYU +1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TTU -1.5, BYU +1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TTU -1.5, BYU +1.5; Over/Under:  160.5 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  22-8 (12-5) (3rd place, Big 12)

BYU Cougars:  20-10 (8-9) (10th place, Big 12)

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Texas Tech Red Raiders:  3-2  last 5

BYU Cougars:  1-4  last 5

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 22-8 record overall, a 12-5 record in conference games, and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the TCU Horned Frogs in their last game. Donovan Atwell led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jaylen Petty was next on the team with 17. Christian Anderson led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Josiah Moseley led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 45.3% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 16-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-16.

BYU is entering this game with a 20-10 record overall, an 8-9 conference record, and they are 11-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Cincinnati Bearcats in their last game. AJ Dybantsa led the team in points in that game with 23 while Robert Wright III was next on the team with 21. AJ Dybantsa led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Keba Keita led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 41.4% from the field, 29.2% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.8 PPG against them. BYU has an ATS record of 12-18 this season and their O/U record is 16-14.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked good in their games this season with their 22-8 record overall and their 12-5 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 5-4 road record this year. Meanwhile, BYU has looked good in their games this season with their 20-10 record overall, but their 8-9 conference record has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They have looked a lot better on their home court though with their 11-3 home record this season. BYU has looked a lot better in their home games this year and they have been ranked inside the top 25 for most of the season, but lately they have looked terrible as the wheels have been falling off down this final stretch of the season and they are no longer ranked in the top 25 either. They were a contender to win the National Championship at the start of the year and they still have one of the best players in the nation on their team, but the injury to Saunders has really derailed them. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and have been flailing lately with 3 losses in a row now, coming off a huge loss by double digits to Cincinnati in their last one. Texas Tech has been the complete opposite though as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games and have still looked good without their best player. They are off a loss to TCU in their last one, but that was right after they pulled off an upset road win over Iowa State, so they were due for a let down in that game against TCU, but now they will be looking to bounce back and go into the conference tournament off a win. Look for Texas Tech to bounce back in this one against a BYU team that has been falling apart over the last 2 weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 7, 2026 (10:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 81 BYU 74.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders: 4-1 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 30-23 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 10-5 ATS after playing a home game. 34-21 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

BYU Cougars: 1-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 5-9 ATS in all home games. 3-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 8-3 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  J. Toppin (F) Out - Knee. L. Hoover (F) Out - Redshirt.

BYU Cougars:  R. Saunders (G) Out - Knee. X. Staton (C) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Perry (G) Out - Redshirt. D. Baker (G) Out - Knee. N. Pickens (G) Out - Undisclosed. B. Kozlowski (F) Out - Redshirt.

“I do think that when you play a really physical team, it does take a lot out of us, because we have skill.” - Grant McCasland after his team’s loss against TCU in their last game. 

“Is he officially done, because he has killed us over the last few years. Alright, he’s done. Good. His motor is so unique and high. He’s a key reason for their success right now.” - Kevin Young on Day Day Thomas after his team’s loss against Cincinnati in their last game. 

C. Anderson 

D. Atwell 

J. Petty 

J. Toppin 

L. Watts

K. Davis 

A. Dybantsa 

K. Keita 

R. Saunders 

R. Wright

PPG: JT Toppin (21.8)

APG: Christian Anderson (7.7)

Reb/G: JT Toppin (10.8)

PPG: AJ Dybantsa (24.8)

APG: Robert Wright III (4.7)

Reb/G: Keba Keita (7)

Coaches:

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Grant McCasland (3rd season)

BYU Cougars: Kevin Young (2nd season)