Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/14/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Feb 13, 2026
Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Saturday, February 14, 2026
Venue:  McKale Memorial Center, Tucson, AZ
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Season Record

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  18-6 (8-3) (5th place, Big 12)
Arizona Wildcats:  23-1 (10-1) (1st place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  3-2  last 5
Arizona Wildcats:  4-1  last 5


Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona Wildcats Preview and Analysis


Texas Tech is entering this game with an 18-6 record overall, an 8-3 record in conference games, and they are 3-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last game. Donovan Atwell led the team in points in that game with 20 while JT Toppin was next on the team with 16. Christian Anderson led the team in assists with 7 in that game while JT Toppin led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 45.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 12-12 this season and their O/U record is 11-13.


Arizona is entering this game with a 23-1 record overall, a 10-1 conference record, and they are 13-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Brayden Burries led the team in points in that game with 25 while Motiejus Krivas was next on the team with 14. Motiejus Krivas and Jaden Bradley each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Motiejus Krivas led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 44.4% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 88.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 14-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-11.



Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 9.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked really good in their games this season with their 18-6 record overall and their 8-3 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12. They haven't been a great road team though with their 3-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, Arizona has looked great in their games this season with their 23-1 record overall and their 10-1 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home court too with their 13-0 home record this season. Arizona has been ranked like the best team in the nation for most of the season and they were one of the last undefeated teams to fall too. They have been rolling all season, but now they are off their first loss of the year. They lost a tight game on the road against Kansas who has looked like one of the best teams in the Big 12 lately, but it is still going to be tough for Arizona to bounce back so easily at home. They have some really good wins under their belt this year and they deserve to be ranked like one of the best in the nation, but they are about to enter the toughest part of their schedule this year so they are going to be tested a lot. Texas Tech has also looked like one of the best teams in the Big 12 this year and even though they haven't looked great in their road games, they have still picked up some really good wins and have kept games close with stronger opponents. Arizona may not be undefeated anymore, but Texas Tech is going to be ready for them and they will bring their best effort for one of the best teams in the nation. Texas Tech has the talent to compete with Arizona and keep this a tighter game. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 14, 2026 (6:30 pm ET start time) is Arizona 91 Texas Tech 88.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Texas Tech Red Raiders Arizona Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Texas Tech Red Raiders: 6-11 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. 3-8 ATS after allowing 55 points or less. 2-6 ATS versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more. 6-2 UNDER versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more. 

Arizona Wildcats: 27-17 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 9-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 27-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 7-2 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 9-5 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.

Key Injuries


Texas Tech Red Raiders:  L. Hoover (F) Out - Redshirt.

Arizona Wildcats:  None.

Notable Quotes


“It wasn’t like I was feeling good ever in this game. Probably with about two minutes to go, I felt good. Other than that, I was on edge and I told the officials I’m going to be on edge, just because I want our guys to feel it and I wanted everybody in the building to feel it.” - Grant McCasland after his team’s win against Colorado in their last game. 


“I honestly don’t care how the game is officiated. We should be fine. We’re a physical team and we’re built for it.” - Tommy Lloyd after his team’s loss against Kansas in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Texas Tech Red Raiders
C. Anderson 
D. Atwell 
J. Petty 
J. Toppin 
L. Watts

Arizona Wildcats
J. Bradley 
B. Burries 
I. Kharchenkov 
M. Krivas 
K. Peat

Statistical Leaders


Texas Tech Red Raiders
PPG: JT Toppin (21.5)
APG: Christian Anderson (7.7)
Reb/G: JT Toppin (10.9)

Arizona Wildcats
PPG: Brayden Burries (15.7)
APG: Jaden Bradley (4.5)
Reb/G: Tobe Awaka (9.6)

Coaches:
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Grant McCasland (3rd season)
Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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