Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/17/2026

Game Time: 11:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 17, 2026

Venue:  Desert Financial Arena, Tempe, AZ

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TTU -9.5, ASU +9.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TTU -9.5, ASU +9.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TTU -9.5, ASU +9.5; Over/Under:  156.5 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  19-6 (9-3) (5th place, Big 12)

Arizona State Sun Devils:  13-12 (4-8) (11th place, Big 12)

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Texas Tech Red Raiders:  3-2  last 5

Arizona State Sun Devils:  2-3  last 5

Texas Tech is entering this game with a 19-6 record overall, a 9-3 record in conference games, and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arizona Wildcats in their last game. JT Toppin led the team in points in that game with 31 while Christian Anderson was next on the team with 19. Christian Anderson led the team in assists with 8 in that game while JT Toppin led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 40.9% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 68.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.4 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 13-12 this season and their O/U record is 11-14.

Arizona State is entering this game with a 13-12 record overall, a 4-8 conference record, and they are 7-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Massamba Diop led the team in points in that game with 17 while Santiago Trouet was next on the team with 16. Noah Meeusen led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Santiago Trouet led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 40% from the field, 23.8% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79.2 PPG against them. Arizona State has an ATS record of 15-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-6 record overall and their 9-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 4-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, Arizona State hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 13-12 record overall and their 4-8 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the Big 12. They haven't looked great on their home court either with their 7-5 home record this season. Arizona State is off a nice win over Oklahoma State in their last one, but they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and have been struggling all season. They have a terrible defense that averages more points given up per game than they score, and they have taken some bad losses this year too. They don't have the talent to compete with the team at the top of the Big 12 and they have been getting blown out in a lot of those games this year. Texas Tech is one of those teams and they are starting to roll again with a ton of momentum on their side. They are only 3-2 in their last 5 games, but they have won 3 games in a row now and have picked up some really good wins, coming off a road win over Arizona in their last one. Texas Tech is getting into a groove again and they are starting to look like a team that can win the Big 12 this season. Look for Texas Tech to continue rolling here against one of the weaker teams in the conference. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech Arizona State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 17, 2026 (11:00 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 87 Arizona State 72.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders: 3-6 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 6-10 ATS on the road after 3 or more consecutive wins. 0-3 ATS on the road when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 6-1 OVER off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog. 

Arizona State Sun Devils: 6-0 ATS off a home win. 8-3 ATS after playing a home game. 9-2 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 9-4 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  L. Hoover (F) Out - Redshirt.

Arizona State Sun Devils:  Q. McCoy (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Polk (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Icitovic (F) Out - Undisclosed. D. Salane (C) Out - Undisclosed. M. Adams (F) Questionable - Leg. A. Holiman (G) Out - Elbow. V. Wallace (G) Out - Ankle.

“Going into this game watching film, you see how physical they are in the way they dominate the paint. We talked about having a hit-first mentality. If you don't hit first, you're losing. On everything. On transition defense, when they're at the rim, sealing. When you're on a ball-screen, if you're not the most physical one when the shot goes up. We were 26-26 in the paint. That's the stat of the game.” - Grant McCasland after his team’s win against Arizona in their last game. 

“Yeah, I mean, he just, I think he takes that personal. That's probably the skill that he possesses that as a separator for him when he is really focused on rebounding, and the ankle felt better, and he looked better in practice yesterday, too.” - Bobby Hurley on Santiago Trouet after his team’s win against Oklahoma State in their last game. 

C. Anderson 

D. Atwell 

J. Petty 

J. Toppin 

L. Watts

M. Diop 

B. Ford 

A. Grbovic 

M. Odum 

S. Trouet

PPG: JT Toppin (21.9)

APG: Christian Anderson (7.7)

Reb/G: JT Toppin (11)

PPG: Maurice Odum (17)

APG: Maurice Odum (6)

Reb/G: Massamba Diop (5.9)

Coaches:

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Grant McCasland (3rd season)

Arizona State Sun Devils: Bobby Hurley (11th season)