Texas State Bobcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 14, 2021
Venue:  Memorial Gymnasium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch:  SEC Network+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas State +7.5, Vandy -7.5; Over/Under:  137 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas State +7.5, Vandy -7.5; Over/Under:  137 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas State +7.5, Vandy -7.5; Over/Under:  136.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas State Bobcats:  0-1 (9th place, Sun Belt)
Vanderbilt Commodores:  1-1 (11th place, SEC)
 
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Texas State Bobcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Texas State Bobcats:  lost on the road on Nov. 12 against the LSU Tigers 84-59.
Vanderbilt Commodores:  won at home on Nov. 10 against the Alabama State Hornets 91-72.
 
 
 

Texas State Bobcats Analysis

Texas State is coming into this game with a 1-1 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They won their season opener against the Incarnate Word Cardinals but then they followed that one up with a loss in their last game against LSU. Isiah Small led the team in points in that game with 13 while Caleb Asberry was next on the team with 12 points. Mason Harrell also played well with 11 points. Harrell led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Small led the team in rebounds with 9. Their shooting was alright in that game as they were 40% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 72.2% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 75 PPG while their defense is allowing their opponents to average 57 PPG against them. Texas State has an ATS record of 1-1 this season and their O/U record is 2-0.
 
 

Vanderbilt Commodores Analysis

Vanderbilt is coming into this game with a 1-0 record overall and they are 1-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They won their season opener which was also their home opener against Alabama State coming into this game off of that win. Jordan Wright led the team in points in that game with 16 while Scotty Pippen Jr. and Jamaine Mann off the bench were both next on the team with 15 points each. Myles Stute also played well with 13 points in that one. Quentin Millora-Brown led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Mann led the team in rebounds with 10. Their shooting could use some work as they were 45.3% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 75.8% from the free throw line. Their offense is averaging 91 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72 PPG against them. Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 0-1 this season and their O/U record is 1-0.
 

 

Texas State vs Vanderbilt Prediction

Vandy is coming into this game as a 7.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt played a lot better in their first game scoring more points than Texas State could reach in their first game. Vanderbilt has more depth on their side and will get offensive contributions from a bunch of different players on their side. The transfer of Scotty Pippen Jr. was also massive for them so this is a program that is looking to succeed in a big way. The best bet to place in this game is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread here as they are the much better team.
 
Texas State Vanderbilt Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, November 14, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Vanderbilt 74 Texas State 59.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Texas State Bobcats: 60-51 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 43-40 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 64-55 ATS in road games. 31-24 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days.
Vanderbilt Commodores: 80-92 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 168-175 ATS as a favorite. 40-44 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 113-122 ATS after one or more consecutive overs.
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas State Bobcats:  None.
Vanderbilt Commodores:  R. Chatman (G) Out indefinitely - Knee injury. L. Robbins (C) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I would expect the turnovers to be cut down once Mason gets back. Having Mason, I would hope that we can cut that turnover margin down, by about at least eight or nine.” - Terrence Johnson on the impact of having Mason Harrell in the game.
 
 
“We were feeling really great about where we were, have a real veteran team, and we still feel good. But now it forces Tyrin Lawrence, who is working his way back (from a torn ACL), and he needs to get up to speed a little bit sooner than he would have to otherwise if Rodney was in there. But I think ultimately, it’s gonna be good for us. It's gonna give Shane Dezonie and Peyton Daniels probably a few more reps than they would get otherwise. But I think in the long run, it’s gonna be really good for us.” - Jerry Stackhouse on Rodney Chatman missing a few weeks due to injury.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas State Bobcats
S. Adams 
C. Asberry 
N. Ceaser 
M. Harrell 
I. Small
 
Vanderbilt Commodores
T. Lawrence
Q. Millora-Brown
 S. Pippen 
M. Stute 
J. Wright
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas State Bobcats
PPG: C. Asberry (20)
APG: S. Adams (1)
Reb/G: I. Small (6)
 
Vanderbilt Commodores
PPG: J. Wright (16)
APG: Q. Millora-Brown (5)
Reb/G: J. Mann (10)
 
Coaches:
Texas State Bobcats: Terrence Johnson (2nd season)
Vanderbilt Commodores: Jerry Stackhouse (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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