Texas State Bobcats vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/30/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue:  Cajun Field, Lafayette, LA 
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas State +21, ULL -21; Over/Under:  58 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas State +21, ULL -21; Over/Under:  58 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas State +21, ULL -21; Over/Under:  58.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas State Bobcats:  2-5 (3rd place, Sun Belt Group B)
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  6-1 (1st place, Sun Belt Group B)
 
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Texas State Bobcats vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Texas State Bobcats:  lost on the road on Oct. 23 against the Georgia State Panthers 28-16.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  won on the road on Oct. 21 against the Arkansas State Red Wolves 28-27.
 
 
 

Texas State Bobcats Analysis

Texas State is coming into this game with a 2-5 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are not in the best spot right now with a 1-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the South Alabama Jaguars in overtime while their 2 losses came against the Troy Trojans and the Georgia State Panthers in their last game. They kept that game close against GA State in the first half but then they fell apart in the second half of that game allowing GA State to pull ahead. Brady McBride struggled in that game as he completed 27/47 passes for 255 yards and 1 interception. He also led the team in rushing in that game with 46 yards and 1 touchdown on the ground on 17 carries while Calvin Hill had 10 carries for 46 yards as well. Ashtyn Hawkins had a nice day as he led the receivers with 108 yards on 6 receptions while Javen Banks had 7 catches for 79 yards in that one. Tory Spears led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game and no one was able to come away with an interception for them either. They have scored 175 points in their 7 games this season averaging 25 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 237 points against them allowing 33.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 354 YPG while their defense is allowing 423.3 YPG.
 
 

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Analysis

ULL is coming into this game with a 6-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently leading the way with a 4-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 4 wins came against the Georgia Southern Eagles, the South Alabama Jaguars, the Appalachian State Mountaineers, and against Arkansas State in their last game. They escaped that game by the skin of their teeth with a win by 1 point in a game where neither team scored in the first quarter and in the fourth quarter. Levi Lewis did not have a good game in that one as he completed 11/20 passes for 122 yards and 1 interception. Chris Smith had a massive day on the ground in that game as he led the team in rushing with 238 yards and 2 touchdowns on 24 carries while Montrell Johnson also had a great day on the ground with 150 yards and 2 touchdowns on 17 carries. Dontae Fleming led the receivers with 47 yards on 2 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Ferrod Gardner led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one also getting 1 sack as well. He and Chauncey Manac both had the only sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense could come away with an interception for them  in that one. They have scored 211 points in their 7 games this season averaging 30.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 154 points against them allowing 22 PPG. Their offense is averaging 425.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 380 YPG.
 

 

Texas State vs Louisiana Prediction

Texas State is coming into this game as a 21.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. ULL have been killing it this season and in all of their conference games but even though they are winning games they are not blowing their opponents out. Other than 1 big win over App State, they have won their other 3 conference games by less than 10 points, with their last win coming by 1 point. Texas State is not a good team but they are not a bad team either and have been keeping their conference games close this season. The best bet to place in this game is on Texas State to cover the spread here as the number is just too large for them to lose by that much in this game.
 
Texas State Louisiana Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (12:00 pm ET start time) is ULL 31 Texas State 24.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Texas State Bobcats: 52-59 O/U in all games. 37-49 O/U as an underdog. 20-32 O/U as a road underdog. 24-33 O/U in road games. 32-40 O/U against conference opponents.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: 13-19 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 50-63 ATS as a favorite. 30-45 ATS as a home favorite. 48-60 ATS in home games. 11-18 ATS in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas State Bobcats:  D. Moorer (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury. W. Jones (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns:  S. Hazard (DL) Out Sat - Undisclosed injury. E. Bailey (RB) Out Sat - Lower Body injury. D. Bonnee (WR) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“When you play teams like this, you have an opportunity to play against a team that has been playing at a high level and has a lot of national eyes on them right now. It’s a great opportunity for us to play a complete game and play together and see what we’re capable of doing. That’s what it comes down to." - Jake Spavital on their upcoming game against ULL.
 
 
“He has made a lot of progress. Just not quite ready.” - Billy Napier on Emani Bailey’s status coming into this game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas State Bobcats
WR Marcell Barbee
WR Banks, Javen 
WR Speights, Chandler 
WR Drue Jackson
TE Lanam, Jackson 
QB McBride, Brady 
RB Calvin Hill
 
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
WR LeBlanc, Peter 
WR Lacy, Kyren 
WR Williams, Jalen 
TE Johnson, Neal 
TE Lumpkin, Johnny 
QB Lewis, Levi 
RB Smith, Chris 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas State Bobcats
Passing: B. McBride (1507)
Rushing: C. Hill (384)
Receiving: J. Banks (427)
Touchdowns: Jahmyl Jeter (4)
 
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
Passing: L. Lewis (1427)
Rushing: C. Smith (551)
Receiving: D. Fleming (223)
Touchdowns: C. Smith (7)
 
Coaches:
Texas State Bobcats: Jake Spavital (3rd season)
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: Billy Napier (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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