Texas State Bobcats vs Georgia State Panthers Game Preview and Prediction - 10/23/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 23, 2021
Venue:  Center Parc Credit Union Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TXST +10.5, GAST -10.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TXST +10.5, GAST -10.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TXST +10, GAST -10; Over/Under:  60.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas State Bobcats:  2-4 (2nd place, Sun Belt Group B)
Georgia State Panthers:  2-4 (4th place, Sun Belt Group A)
 
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Texas State Bobcats vs Georgia State Panthers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Texas State Bobcats:  lost at home on Oct. 16 against the Troy Trojans 31-28.
Georgia State Panthers:  won on the road on Oct. 9 against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 55-21.
 
 
 

Texas State Bobcats Analysis

Texas State is coming into this game with a 2-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this college football season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the South Alabama Jaguars in overtime while their loss came against Troy in their last game. That was a close game that they had a late lead in but allowed Troy to score a touchdown in the 4th quarter to come away with the 3 point win. Brady McBride had his moments where he played well in that game, but for the most part he struggled a lot as he completed 22/32 passes for 279 yards, 3 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Brock Sturges led the team in rushing with 49 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 carries but they did not really get much of a run game going in that one. Javen Banks led the receivers with 96 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Trevis Graham Jr. had 47 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Troy Lefeged Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted ones while Jordan Revels was right behind him with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Caeveon Patton and Nick McCann both combined for the only sack in that game by their defense and no one was able to come away with an interception in that game either. They have scored 159 points in their first 6 games averaging 26.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 209 points against them allowing 34.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 350 YPG while the Bobcats’ defense is allowing 410 YPG.
 
 

Georgia State Panthers Analysis

Georgia State is coming into this college football game with a 2-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 3rd conference matchup on their college football schedule this year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Appalachian State Mountaineers while their 1 win came against ULM in their last game. That win snapped a 2 game losing streak that they were on and it was not a close game as Georgia State was in control the whole time winning that one by 24 points. Darren Grainger had a great game in that one as he completed 18/25 passes for 230 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also led the team in rushing with 84 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries. Tucker Gregg had a good day on the ground as he rushed for 83 yards and 1 TD on 15 carries and Jamyest Williams had 12 rushing attempt for 67 yards and 1 touchdown. Stretch Credle also had a very nice day as he led the receivers with 130 yards and 2 touchdowns on 7 receptions and Aubry Payne also caught 2 touchdown passes for 58 total yards on 6 receptions. Jeffrey Clark led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles. He also led the team in sacks with 1 along with Shamar McCollum and Jacorey Crawford who both had 1 sack each as well. It was Antavious Lane who came away with the only interception for the defense in that game. They have scored 142 points in their first 6 games averaging 23.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 211 points against them allowing 35.2 PPG. The Georgia State offense is averaging 369.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 419.8 YPG.
 

 

Texas State vs Georgia State Prediction

Georgia State is coming into this game as a 10.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They looked much better in their last game against ULM with a big blowout win. They are starting to trend in the right direction and tend to feed on these lesser teams in their conference like ULM. Texas State is also one of those lesser teams, they may be in 2nd place of their division but there is no other way to slice the fact that they have 2 wins in 6 games this year. The last 2 Texas State games have been too close for comfort as well with an OT win in a game that they should not have won and then followed up with a 3 point loss. They are trending in the opposite direction as Georgia State is so the best bet to place in this game is on Georgia State to cover the spread here as they will smash them and get a nice comfortable win here.
 
Texas State Georgia State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 23, 2021 (2:00 pm ET start time) is GAST 42 TXST 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Texas State Bobcats: 52-58 O/U in all games. 37-48 O/U as an underdog. 20-31 O/U as a road underdog. 24-32 O/U in road games. 32-39 O/U against conference opponents.
Georgia State Panthers: 52-48 ATS in all games. 22-13 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 32-29 ATS against conference opponents. 46-41 ATS in games played on turf.
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas State Bobcats:  W. Jones (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Georgia State Panthers:  None.
 

Players to Watch

 
Texas State Bobcats: Javen Banks is one player to watch in this contest. He leads the team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he led the team in receiving yards and almost got over the 100 yard mark in the process. This team does not have a lot of weapons and he is one of their best ones so look for them to get the ball into his hands as much as possible here to try and win this one.
 
Georgia State Panthers: Stretch Credle is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a game where he led his team in receiving yards with over 100. He is one of their biggest playmakers so look for him to get the ball in his hands and make some big catches down the field in this one.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“It’s not on one person. There’s a lot of different things with every single play that occurs out there. I thought the defense played well in the second half and then didn’t finish the game out right there at the end. Offense played well, made a lot of different plays, and then we had that pick six and turnover at the end that really cost us the game.” - Jake Spavital after his team lost a close game against Troy in their last one.
 
 
“There’s no particular need. We’ve got to be better in our special teams and certainly improve in other phases. But we’re just now getting to being who we want to be. I think this past weekend was pretty evident, what we want to do, running the ball and playing well defensively, creating turnovers.” - Shawn Elliott on where his team is at with their improvement as the season progresses each week.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas State Bobcats
WR Marcell Barbee
WR Banks, Javen 
WR Speights, Chandler 
WR Drue Jackson
TE Lanam, Jackson 
QB McBride, Brady 
RB Calvin Hill
 
Georgia State Panthers
WR McCoy, Cornelius 
WR Pinckney, Sam 
WR Terrance Dixon 
TE Carter, Roger 
QB Grainger, Darren 
RB Gregg, Tucker 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas State Bobcats
Passing: B. McBride (1252)
Rushing: C. Hill (338)
Receiving: J. Banks (348)
Touchdowns: Jahmyl Jeter (4)
Sacks: I. Nixon (3)
Tackles: T. Lefeged Jr. (21)
 
Georgia State Panthers
Passing: D. Grainger (583)
Rushing: T. Gregg (350)
Receiving: J. Credle (221)
Touchdowns: J. Credle (3)
Sacks: B. Carroll (2.5)
Tackles: J. Veneziale (27)
 
Coaches:
Texas State Bobcats: Jake Spavital (3rd season)
Georgia State Panthers: Shawn Elliott (5th season)
 

Weather Forecast

73 degrees F sunny, 62% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 9 mph wind speeds NW.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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