Texas State Bobcats vs Eastern Michigan Eagles Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/25/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 25, 2021
Venue:  Rynearson Stadium, Ypsilanti, MI
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas State +6.5, Eastern Michigan -6.5; Over/Under:  62 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas State +6.5, Eastern Michigan -6.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas State +6, Eastern Michigan -6; Over/Under:  61.5 points

Season Record

Texas State Bobcats:  1-2 (5th place, Sun Belt Group B)
Eastern Michigan Eagles:  2-1 (2nd place, MAC West)
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Texas State Bobcats vs Eastern Michigan Eagles Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Texas State Bobcats:  lost at home on Sep. 18 against Incarnate Word 42-34.
Eastern Michigan Eagles:  won on the road on Sep. 18 against UMass 42-28.

Texas State Bobcats Analysis

Texas State is coming into this matchup with a 1-2 record overall and is 1-0 in their road games this year where they will be in this game. This will be their last non-conference game of the regular season. They lost their 2 games at home against the Baylor Bears and the Incarnate Word Cardinals while their 1 road win came against the FIU Panthers. They lost their last game to Incarnate Word at home but Cameron Ward did not play a bad game at the quarterback position. He completed 31/47 passes for 376 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Marcus Cooper had a good day in the run game leading his team with 74 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 10 carries but other than him, they did not have much of a ground game. The receiving corps had a big day though. Robert Ferrell led the receivers with 132 yards and 2 touchdowns on 10 receptions while Taylor Grimes was right behind him with 113 yards and 1 touchdown on 11 receptions. Elliott Davison led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Terrell Lucas led the team in sacks with 1 while Blaine Hoover and Kelechi Anyalebechi both had 0.5 sacks each. No one on the defense came away with an interception in this game. They have scored 77 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 88 points against them. Their offense is averaging 343.7 YPG while their defense is allowing 414.7 YPG.

Eastern Michigan Eagles Analysis

EMU is coming into this college football game with a 2-1 record overall and they are 1-0 in their home games where they will be in this one. This is their last non-conference game on the schedule for the rest of the regular season. Their 2 wins came against the St. Francis PA Red Flash and the UMass Minutemen while their 1 loss came against the Wisconsin Badgers. They beat the Minutemen in their last game 42-28. Ben Bryant played well in that game completing 14/21 passes for 298 yards, 1 touchdown and no interceptions. Their run game was great in that one as Jawon Hamilton had a big day leading the team with 122 rushing yards and 1 touchdown on 16 carries. Darius Boone only had 27 yards on 11 carries but found the end zone twice on the ground. The receiving corps also had a really nice day in that game. Hassan Beydoun led the team with 101 receiving yards on 6 receptions while Zach Westmoreland had 97 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Robert Daniel led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Grant Trueman had the only sack in the game for the defense while David Carter Jr. caught the only interception for them. They have scored 84 points in their first 3 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 77 points against them. Their offense is averaging 336.3 YPG while the Eagles defense is allowing 443 YPG.


Texas State vs Eastern Michigan Prediction

Both of these defenses have been giving up a lot of yards in their first few games. Both offenses have been able to move the ball when up against a bad defense so far. Draftkings sportsbook has this total set at 62 and there will surely be more total points than that in this game. Both teams will not struggle to move the ball here and both will be able to find the end zone with the way their offenses are running right now. This contest should be a back and forth shootout that ends up going over the total so the over is the best bet to make here.
Texas State Eastern Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 25, 2021 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Eastern Michigan 42 Texas State 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Texas State Bobcats: 2-5 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 4-8 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Eastern Michigan Eagles: 10-12 ATS in all games. 3-6 ATS as a favorite. 

Key Injuries

Texas State Bobcats:  R. Groves (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. W. Jones (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Eastern Michigan Eagles:  None.

Players to Watch

Texas State Bobcats: Brady McBride is one player to watch here. He is the quarterback so all of the offense on the team runs through him. If he wants to give his team a chance he will have to play his best and make some smart throws in this game.
Eastern Michigan Eagles: Hassan Beydoun is one player to watch here. He has a team-high 166 receiving yards and he will have to make some good catches here to help his team get a win. Look for him to make some plays in this game.

Notable Quotes

“All credit to Incarnate Word. I thought they outplayed us in all facets of the game. That’s a good FCS program. I thought it was just a really sloppy game on our part – too many busted assignments, too many penalties, couldn’t get off the field on third down.” - Jack Spavital after loss to Incarnate Word.
“We are very proud of the progress we have made and believe deeply that we will realize the vision of making this program a source of pride for our department, the university, Ypsilanti and this region." - Chris Creighton after getting a contract extension to coach there.

Starting Lineups

Texas State Bobcats
WR Barbee, Marcell 
WR Banks, Javen 
WR Speights, Chandler 
WR Jackson, Drue 
TE Caillouet, Seth 
QB McBride, Brady 
RB Hill, Calvin 
RB Twyford, Caleb 
Eastern Michigan Eagles
WR Dylan Summers 
WR Dylan Drummond
WR Hassan Beydoun 
TE Thomas Odukoya 
QB Preston Hutchinson 
RB Darius Boone Jr.

Statistical Leaders

Texas State Bobcats
Passing: B. McBride (599)
Rushing: C. Hill (181)
Receiving: M. Barbee (177)
Touchdowns: J. Jeter (3)
Sacks: I. Nixon (2)
Tackles: Z. Childress (12)
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Passing: Ben Bryant (447)
Rushing: J. Hamilton (186)
Receiving: H. Beydoun (166)
Touchdowns: S. Evans (4)
Sacks: T. Myrick (1)
Tackles: T. Myrick (13)
Texas State Bobcats: Jake Spavital (3rd season)
Eastern Michigan Eagles: Chris Creighton (8th season)

Weather Forecast

65 degrees F scattered showers, 59% humidity, 50% chance of rain, up to 12 mph wind speeds SW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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