Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2025

Game Time: 7:35 pm ET, Saturday, July 12, 2025

Venue:  Daikin Park, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +104, Astros -126; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +105, Astros -125; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +105, Astros -125; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Texas Rangers:  46-48 (3rd place, AL West)

Houston Astros:  55-38 (1st place, AL West)

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Texas Rangers:  5-5 last 10

Houston Astros:  6-4 last 10

The Rangers are entering this series off a win and split their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Angels 2-2 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-48 record overall and have a road record of 20-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Astros on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .672 OPS. Jack Leiter is their starting pitcher on Friday while Jacob deGrom is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA this season. His team won 6 of their last 7 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 5 SO on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.

The Astros are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cleveland Guardians 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-38 record overall and have a home record of 32-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Lance McCullers Jr. is their starting pitcher on Friday while Framber Valdez is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 10-4 with a 2.90 ERA this season. His team won their last 11 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 walks with 7 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Astros listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Astros have looked great in their games this season with their 55-38 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL West with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their own ballpark this year with their 32-17 home record. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 46-48 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL West. They haven't been a good road team either with their 20-29 road record this season. The Astros haven't looked great lately as they were just swept by the Guardians in their last series, but they are still 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have the stronger offense here by far. They are going to have Valdez on the mound in this one and he has been one of their best starters this season. He is 10-4 with a 2.90 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs all season. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start, but that hasn't been a common theme for him lately and the team has still had a ton of success with him starting, winning 11 games in a row now with him on the mound. The Rangers are also going to have a great starter on the mound here as they are going with deGrom. He is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all season either. His team has won 6 of their last 7 games with him starting too, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start. Both of these teams have great pitching staffs so the edge goes to the Astros in this one with the better offense, and the Astros have also looked a lot better at home this year while the Rangers have been terrible on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Astros to win this game. 

Rangers Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 12, 2025 (7:35 pm ET start time) is Astros 2 Rangers 1.

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Texas Rangers: 227-208 (-5.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-117 (-14.5 units) on the moneyline in road games. 69-69 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 17-6 UNDER vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better.

Houston Astros: 78-56 (+4.2 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 174-138 (+6.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 168-128 (+17.7 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better. 17-9 UNDER when the total is 7 or less.

Texas Rangers:  T. Mahle (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Pederson (1B) Ten Day IL - Hand. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Gray (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. J. Sborz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

Houston Astros:  J. Meyers (CF) Day To Day - Calf. L. Guillorme (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. Y. Alvarez (LF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. J. Pena (SS) Ten Day IL - Rib. S. Dubin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. P. Leon (RF) Sixty Day IL - Knee. B. Rodgers (2B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. J. Melton (LF) Ten Day IL - Ankle. S. Arrighetti (SP) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. Z. Dezenzo (RF) Ten Day IL - Hand. R. Blanco (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. McCormick (LF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. H. Wesneski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Garcia (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. C. Javier (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. France (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.

“This is more who we think we are. I’ve said, these guys are going to come around. They’re too good not to, and that’s what happened here in this series.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the LA Angels in their game on Thursday.

“We are excited for him. From Day 1 that he walked in our clubhouse, the energy he’s brought to our club, the performance on the field, the human, I couldn’t be any happier for him when we told him in there.” - Joe Espada after his team’s loss against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.

Josh Smith (L) 3B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Adolis García (R) RF

Jonah Heim (S) C

Wyatt Langford (R) LF

Evan Carter (L) CF

Jake Burger (R) 1B

Alejandro Osuna (L) DH

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Jake Meyers (R) CF

Jose Altuve (R) 2B

Cam Smith (R) RF

Victor Caratini (S) 1B

Yainer Diaz (R) C

Cooper Hummel (S) DH

Taylor Trammell (L) LF

Mauricio Dubón (R) SS

Batting Average:  Josh Smith (.284)

Hits:  Josh Smith (82)

Home Runs:  Wyatt Langford (14)

RBI:  Adolis García (53)

Stolen Bases:  Wyatt Langford (13)

Wins:  Jacob deGrom (9)

Saves:  Luke Jackson (9)

ERA:  Cole Winn (1.59)

Batting Average:  Jeremy Peña (.322)

Hits:  Jeremy Peña (102)

Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (19)

RBI:  Jose Altuve (51)

Stolen Bases:  Jeremy Peña (15)

Wins:  Framber Valdez (10)

Saves:  Josh Hader (25)

ERA:  Héctor Neris (0.00)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (3rd season)

Houston Astros: Joe Espada (2nd season)