Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/07/2023

Game Time: 1:03 pm ET, Saturday, October 7, 2023

Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +114, Orioles -135; Over/Under:  8 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +125, Orioles -145; Over/Under:  8 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers +120, Orioles -145; Over/Under:  8 runs

Texas Rangers:  90-72 (2nd place, AL West)

Baltimore Orioles:  101-61 (1st place, AL East)

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Texas Rangers:  6-4 last 10

Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10

The Rangers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their best 2 out of 3-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-0 in the AL Wild Card Round. They finished the regular season with a 90-72 record overall and had a road record of 40-41. This is the series opener of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Orioles on Saturday for the AL Division Series. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .789 OPS. Nathan Eovaldi was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dane Dunning is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 12-7 with a 3.70 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 3.1 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Orioles are entering this series off a loss and split their 4-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-2 in their last series of the regular season. They finished the regular season with a 101-61 record overall and had a home record of 52-29. This is the 1st game of a best 3 out of 5 game series with the Rangers on Saturday for the AL Division Series. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .742 OPS. Kyle Bradish was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Kyle Bradish is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 12-7 with a 2.83 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 0 hits through 2 innings played against the Boston Red Sox.

The current betting odds have the Rangers listed as an underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles finished the regular season with a better record than the Rangers and won the AL East but they have been off for the last week now and that could really hurt their momentum. The Rangers have shown that they can win on the road as they swept the Rays in 2 games in the Wild Card Round and now they are starting this series on the road but have the momentum on their side. The Rangers won both games in Tampa but their offense was also really hot in those games as they were putting up a ton of runs. The Orioles have Bradish starting here and he has been really good this season but so has Dunning and he is going to keep the Rangers in this game. The Orioles don't have a great bullpen either so the Rangers are going to put up runs late in this game, especially with how hot their offense has been lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.

Rangers Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, October 7, 2023 (1:03 pm ET start time) is Rangers 6 Orioles 3.

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Texas Rangers: 12-12 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. 9-12 (-4.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a one run loss to the opponent. 10-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175. DANE DUNNING is 24-14 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Baltimore Orioles: 101-61 (+41.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-11 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 27-14 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. 16-8 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive unders.

Texas Rangers:  J. Gray (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. I. Kennedy (RP) out for season - Shoulder. M. Scherzer (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Miller (DH) out for season - Hamstring. J. deGrom (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Baltimore Orioles:  F. Bautista (RP) out for season - Elbow. D. Tate (RP) Mid Oct - Forearm. T. Vavra (RF) out for season - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back.

“What's important is how you handle it, and these guys have handled it so well. I think we were counted out earlier in the season or late August ... but what a job they did to bounce back and to be in this position.” - Bruce Bochy after his team’s win against the Rays in their game on Wednesday. 

“I am really proud of how we played for six months. We didn't play our best baseball game today, unfortunately, in the last game in front of the home fans. How well we played this year, home and away, is definitely something to be proud of.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their last game of the regular season.

Marcus Semien (R) 2B

Corey Seager (L) SS

Robbie Grossman (S) DH

Adolis Garcia (R) RF

Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B

Jonah Heim (S) C

Leody Taveras (S) CF

Josh Jung (R) 3B

Evan Carter (L) LF

Gunnar Henderson (L) SS

Adley Rutschman (S) DH

Anthony Santander (S) RF

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Heston Kjerstad (L) LF

Adam Frazier (L) 2B

Jordan Westburg (R) 3B

James McCann (R) C

Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.327)

Hits:  Marcus Semien (185)

Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (39)

RBI:  Adolis Garcia (107)

Stolen Bases:  Travis Jankowski (19)

Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (12)

Saves:  Will Smith (22)

ERA:  Jake Latz (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ryan O'Hearn (.289)

Hits:  Adley Rutschman (163)

Home Runs:  Gunnar Henderson (28)

RBI:  Anthony Santander (95)

Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (32)

Wins:  Kyle Gibson (15)

Saves:  Felix Bautista (33)

ERA:  Chris Vallimont (0.00)

Managers:

Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)

Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)