Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/27/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, May 26, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Saturday, May 27, 2023
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rangers -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Texas Rangers:  31-18 (1st place, AL West)
Baltimore Orioles:  33-17 (2nd place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Texas Rangers:  7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  7-3 last 10



Texas Rangers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis


The Rangers are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak after winning their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 31-18 record overall and have a road record of 15-10. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .790 OPS. Jon Gray is their starting pitcher on Friday while Andrew Heaney is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-3 with a 4.13 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.

The Orioles are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak after winning their 3-game series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-17 record overall and have a home record of 15-8. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rangers on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .753 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-1 with a 4.61 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 7 strikeouts on 9 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.


Rangers vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Orioles are rolling into this series really hot as they just continue to win games and have improved a lot from previous seasons with one of the best records in the entire MLB right now around 50 games into the season. Their offense continues to impress as they are putting up tons of runs and they are going to have a similar opponent here as the Rangers also have a really hot offense and have improved a lot this season with the best record in their division right now. This game is going to come down to pitching though and both of these bullpens haven't been great this season giving up a ton of runs in their games. The Orioles do have an edge with their starter though as Kremer has been decent in his starts this season and also has 5 wins on the year so the team plays really well when he is on the mound too. Heaney is up for the Rangers though and he hasn't been good in his starts as he has been giving up a ton of runs and he is going to get hit in this game with this hot Orioles offense at home. Kremer will keep his team in this game with a good home performance here and the Orioles offense will carry them to yet another victory. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.

Rangers Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, May 27, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 8 Rangers 5.
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MLB Betting Trends


Texas Rangers: 85-110 (-10.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 21-40 (-19.6 units) on the moneyline on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 29-19 OVER in all games. 15-8 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5. 

Baltimore Orioles: 33-17 (+17.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-7 (+16.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 13-7 OVER against left-handed starters. DEAN KREMER is 7-2 OVER in all games. 

Key Injuries


Texas Rangers:  E. Duran (SS) Ques Fri - Back. S. Howard (SP) Early June - Arm. J. deGrom (SP) Mid June - Elbow. T. Jankowski (RF) Early June - Hamstring. M. Garver (C) Early June - Knee. J. Odorizzi (SP) out for season - Shoulder. G. Otto (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Martin (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Baltimore Orioles:  C. Mullins (CF) Ques Fri - Personal. D. Tate (RP) Early June - Forearm. R. Urias (3B) Early June - Hamstring. J. Means (SP) Mid July - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“What a job (Smith) did to bail us out. He earned the save.” - Bruce Bochy on Will Smith after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.


“Great pitch mix of being unpredictable — keeping the ball on the corners, down by the knees.” - Brandon Hyde on Kyle Gibson after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Texas Rangers
Marcus Semien (R) 2B
Corey Seager (L) DH
Nathaniel Lowe (L) 1B
Adolis Garcia (R) RF
Josh Jung (R) 3B
Jonah Heim (S) C
Robbie Grossman (S) LF
Josh H. Smith (L) SS
Leody Taveras (S) CF

Baltimore Orioles
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Austin Hays (R) LF
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Ryan McKenna (R) CF
Jorge Mateo (R) SS

Statistical Leaders


Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  Corey Seager (.348)
Hits:  Marcus Semien (60)
Home Runs:  Adolis Garcia (14)
RBI:  Adolis Garcia (49)
Stolen Bases:  Marcus Semien (7)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (6)
Saves:  Will Smith (9)
ERA:  Dane Dunning (1.67)

Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Austin Hays (.307)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (50)
Home Runs:  Ryan Mountcastle (11)
RBI:  Cedric Mullins (39)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (14)
Wins:  Kyle Gibson (6)
Saves:  Felix Bautista (12)
ERA:  Yennier Cano (0.68)

Managers:
Texas Rangers: Bruce Bochy (1st season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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