Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/26/2024

Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 24, 2024

Venue:  FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -19, Vandy +19; Over/Under:  53 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -19, Vandy +19; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -18.5, Vandy +18.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  6-1 (2-1) (5th place, SEC)

Vanderbilt Commodores:  5-2 (2-1) (7th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  lost their last game at home against the Georgia Bulldogs 30-15.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  won their last game at home against the Ball State Cardinals 24-14.

Texas is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 30-15. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 25/43 passes for 211 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quintrevion Wisner led the team in rushing yards with 52. Matthew Golden led the receivers with 77 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Michael Taaffe led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Jahdae Barron led the defense in interceptions with 2 while Andrew Mukuba came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Ball State 24-14. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 17/31 passes for 275 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Diego Pavia led the team in rushing yards with 82 and 1 TD. Eli Stowers led the receivers with 130 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Cordell Taylor led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Nick Rinaldi and De'Marion Thomas each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 19 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall and their 2-1 conference record which has them in the middle of the SEC. They are also ranked in the top 25 for the first time in a while so they have a ton of momentum from that, and they have pulled off some upset wins already. Meanwhile, Texas has looked really good in their games this season with their 6-1 record overall and their 2-1 conference record, but they are coming off their first loss of the season. They are coming off a home loss to Georgia in their last one and they will be looking to bounce back in this game, but they could be feeling the aftermath from that loss since it was a game they really needed to win. Texas can't afford another loss if they want to win the SEC in their first ever season in the conference, but now there is more pressure on them to stay undefeated the rest of the season. Vanderbilt has been a big surprise this season but their new QB Diego Pavia finds ways to keep them in games and even if Vanderbilt can't pull off the upset win at home here, they will keep this game close enough to scare Texas again. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Vanderbilt Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 24, 2024 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Texas 34 Vanderbilt 24.

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Texas Longhorns: 20-13 ATS in all lined games. 7-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-2 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 6-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 7-2 1H OVER as a road favorite. 4-1 1H OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses.

Vanderbilt Commodores: 5-11 ATS in home lined games. 3-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 3-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 8-3 OVER as a home underdog. 13-0 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 OVER versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 yards/play or less.

Texas Longhorns:  Q. Wisner (RB) Probable - Undisclosed. A. Mukuba (DB) Doubtful - Undisclosed. I. Bond (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. V. Gardner (RB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Williams (DB) Out - Lower Body. C. Clark (RB) Out - Achilles. C. Baxter (RB) Out - Knee.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  L. Zunk (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Capers (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Alexander (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Hight (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Newberry (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Stowers (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Wood (DL) Out - Undisclosed. L. Patterson (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Morgan (OL) Out - Undisclosed. M. Davis (CB) Out - Achilles.

“Unfortunately, we didn’t play our best football tonight, but we were still competitive. Hopefully, we get another crack at them. They’ve they’ve been the standard in college football now for about five, six, seven years and we played them really well in the second half." - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game. 

“We were good enough tonight to come out with a good result. How many times do you have to be in these games to realize there is never an opportunity where you can come out and play out of focus from your own identity or at a low energy and expect to win? We did enough tonight to win but… I didn’t love the energy level and that is something we will talk about.” - Clark Lea after his team’s win against Ball State in their last game. 

WR Bond, Isaiah

WR Golden, Matthew

WR Moore Jr., DeAndre 

TE Helm, Gunnar 

QB Ewers, Quinn

RB Blue, Jaydon

WR Sherrill, Junior

WR Skinner Jr., Quincy

WR Hoskins, Richie

TE Spence, Cole

QB Pavia, Diego 

RB Alexander, Sedrick

FB Fisher, Gabe

Passing: Q. Ewers (1101)

Rushing: Q. Wisner (330)

Receiving: I. Bond (380)

Touchdowns: J. Blue (7)

Passing: D. Pavia (1391)

Rushing: D. Pavia (470)

Receiving: E. Stowers (463)

Touchdowns: S. Alexander (6)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (4th season)

Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (4th season)