Texas Longhorns vs Vanderbilt Commodores Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/12/2025

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Venue:  Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +1.5, Vandy -1.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +2, Vandy -2; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +1.5, Vandy -1.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  17-14 (6-12) (13th place, SEC)

Vanderbilt Commodores:  20-11 (8-10) (12th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  1-4  last 5

Vanderbilt Commodores:  3-2  last 5

Texas is entering this game with a 17-14 record overall, a 6-12 record in conference games, and they are 2-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Jordan Pope led the team in points in that game with 21 while Tramon Mark and Arthur Kaluma each were next on the team with 12. Tre Johnson led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 39% from the field, 38.1% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.4 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 14-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 18-11-2.

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 20-11 record overall, an 8-10 conference record, and they are 3-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Jason Edwards led the team in points in that game with 24 while Chris Manon and Jaylen Carey each were next on the team with 10. AJ Hoggard led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Jaylen Carey led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 38.6% from the field, 29.6% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.6 PPG against them. Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 18-13 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.

The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has looked good in their games this season with their 20-11 record overall, but their 8-10 conference record has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have looked good in their neutral site games this season, going 3-1 in those. Meanwhile, Texas hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 17-14 record overall and their 6-12 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They are also 2-1 in their neutral site games this season. Texas is still holding out hope for the NCAA Tournament and they need to have a good run in this SEC Tournament, but they really haven't looked good lately and have no momentum coming into this one. They are 1-4 in their last 5 games and they are coming off a crushing loss at home to Oklahoma in their regular season finale. That loss to their rival could still be lingering in this game, and Vandy is a team that has been starting to get hot lately. Vanderbilt is also coming off a loss in their regular season finale to Georgia, but they are 3-2 in their last 5 games and have been ripping off some good wins lately. Vanderbilt will be looking to bounce back after losing 2 games in a row, but they have already beaten Texas this season and should have no issues doing that again with how bad Texas has looked in their games to end the season. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Vanderbilt Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 12, 2025 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Vanderbilt 74 Texas 64.

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Texas Longhorns: 1-5 ATS on the road or at a neutral site versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more. 11-18 ATS on the road or at a neutral site after playing a home game. 7-12 1H ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 9-3 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite. 21-11 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 8-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 45% or more.

Vanderbilt Commodores: 9-5 ATS in all neutral court games. 6-1 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 18-12 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 10-4 OVER in all neutral court games. 6-1 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 9-5 OVER in all tournament games.

Texas Longhorns:  None.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  M. Collins (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Huffman (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Hemenway (G) Out - Undisclosed.

“You still have an opportunity. You've got to keep plugging away, you’ve got to keep your head up, and you’ve got to keep believing and keep working. Anything's possible.” - Rodney Terry after his team’s loss against Oklahoma in their last game of the regular season.

“I think everybody in the locker room is just disappointed with the outcome, but it’s one of those things where you got to move on quick. We won eight games in the toughest league in the history of leagues. Every game is a battle. We’re a little beat up right now so we got to get healthy.” - Mark Byington after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game of the regular season.

T. Johnson 

A. Kaluma 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

K. Shedrick

J. Edwards 

A. Hoggard 

C. Manon 

D. McGlockton 

T. Nickel

PPG: T. Johnson (20.2)

APG: J. Larry (3.3)

Reb/G: A. Kaluma (7.8)

PPG: J. Edwards (16.9)

APG: A. Hoggard (4.7)

Reb/G: D. McGlockton (7.8)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (3rd season)

Vanderbilt Commodores: Mark Byington (1st season)