Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/23/2024

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 23, 2024

Venue:  Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +6.5, Tennessee -6.5; Over/Under:  146.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  21-12 (9-9) (8th place, Big 12)

Tennessee Volunteers:  25-8 (14-4) (1st place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

Tennessee Volunteers:  3-2  last 5

Texas is entering this game with a 21-12 record overall, a 9-9 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Colorado State Rams in their last game. Dylan Disu and Max Abmas each led the team in points per game in that game with 12 while Chendall Weaver was next on the team with 11. Tyrese Hunter led the team in assists with 2 in that game while Ithiel Horton led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 40% from the field, 7.1% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 13-20 this season and their O/U record is 20-13.

Tennessee is entering this game with a 25-8 record overall, a 14-4 conference record, and they are 3-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Saint Peter’s Peacocks in their last game. Dalton Knecht led the team in points in that game with 23 while Jonas Aidoo was next on the team with 15. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Dalton Knecht led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 50.9% from the field, 45.8% from 3-point range, and 72% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 17-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-16.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 25-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They didn't win their conference tournament but they did look great in the SEC all season with their 14-4 conference record which led the way. They haven't looked great in their neutral site games this season with their 3-3 record in those, but they are coming off a big win against Saint Peter's in their last one and they will have some momentum here from that big win. Meanwhile, Texas hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 21-12 record overall and their 9-9 conference record which has them in the middle of the pack in the Big 12. They struggled in their own conference all season and they didn't really make a dent in their conference tournament either. They are also just 3-2 in their neutral site games this year so they haven't been much better than Tennessee. Texas managed to get by Colorado State in the last round who had to play in the First Four, but now Texas will be getting a tougher opponent that was right in contention for the number 1 seed for this tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.

Texas Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 23, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 81 Texas 68.

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Texas Longhorns: 3-13 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 2-10 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 4-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 20-12 OVER in all games. 16-6 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-6 OVER when seeded 5 to 8 in the NCAA tournament.

Tennessee Volunteers: 23-15 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 35-20 ATS after a blowout win by 30 points or more. 14-5 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. 17-6 OVER in a neutral court game where the total is 145 to 149.5. 8-1 OVER after a cover as a double digit favorite.

Texas Longhorns:  None.

Tennessee Volunteers:  None.

“I thought our guys did a really good job of trying to take Isaiah out. He’s really important to those guys. Last 10 seconds of the shot clock, we wanted somebody else to have to make a play. We didn’t want their post guys to get deep post.” - Rodney Terry after his team’s win against CSU in their last game in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday.

“When we went back on the court and went to work, they did respond. Just proud of them. They were really focused with what we needed to get done.” - Rick Barnes after his team’s win against Saint Peter’s in their last game in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday.

M. Abmas 

D. Disu 

I. Horton 

T. Hunter 

D. Mitchell

J. Aidoo 

J. James 

D. Knecht 

S. Vescovi 

Z. Zeigler

PPG: M. Abmas (16.8)

APG: M. Abmas (4.3)

Reb/G: D. Mitchell (7.7)

PPG: D. Knecht (21.4)

APG: Z. Zeigler (6)

Reb/G: J. Aidoo (7.6)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (2nd season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (9th season)