Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/11/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 11, 2023

Venue:  Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -11.5, TCU +11.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -12, TCU +12; Over/Under:  54.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -12.5, TCU +12.5; Over/Under:  55 points

Texas Longhorns:  8-1 (5-1) (1st place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  4-5 (2-4) (10th place, Big 12)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in NCAAF as he is 92-52 his last 144 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at home against the Kansas State Wildcats in overtime 33-30.

TCU Horned Frogs:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 35-28.

Texas is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Kansas State 33-30 in OT. Maalik Murphy was the starting QB and he completed 19/37 passes for 248 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jonathon Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 112 and 1 TD. Adonai Mitchell led the receivers with 149 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Ryan Watts led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Ethan Burke led the defense in sacks with 2. Michael Taaffe came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

TCU is entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 2-4 record in their conference games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas Tech 35-28. Josh Hoover was the starting QB and he completed 32/52 passes for 353 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Emani Bailey led the team in rushing yards with 57 and 2 TDs. Jaylon Robinson led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Channing Canada led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Namdi Obiazor and Caleb Fox each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as an 11.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU is only 4-5 this season and they haven't looked great in their conference games with their 2-4 record in the Big 12. They have been a lot better in their home games though with their 3-2 home record and they are getting Texas in this game off a close OT win last week and without their starting QB too. Texas has looked really good this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record but they haven't looked as good lately since Quinn Ewers went down. They barely beat Kansas State at home last week and now they have to go on the road here against another Texas team who will be looking to pull off an upset at home where they have been a lot better. TCU will put up a good fight in this home game against a weakened Texas offense and they will keep this game close enough to cover. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 11, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 31 TCU 24.

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Texas Longhorns: 9-4 ATS as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points. 25-15 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 60-36 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 25-16 OVER after a win by 6 or less points.

TCU Horned Frogs: 4-9 ATS as an underdog. 5-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 9-17 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 12-4 OVER off 2 straight losses against conference rivals. 17-9 OVER as a home underdog.

Texas Longhorns:  J. Catalon (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Q. Ewers (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

TCU Horned Frogs:  J. Bech (WR) Out Sat - Undisclosed. W. Thompson (WR) Out Sat - Undisclosed. C. Curtis (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Wright (WR) Out Sat - Undisclosed. C. Morris (QB) Mid Nov - Knee.

"The thing I'm probably most proud of is the players that have been with us for three years." - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against KSU in their last game. 

“It’s kind of been the same story all year, honestly. We just make so many mistakes that we just can’t have any kind of level of consistency, and we made some critical mistakes in the first half. We did some things that you just can’t do. Our guys came back and played hard in the second half, took a lead, answered back. I knew we could. I knew we would." - Sonny Dykes after his team’s loss against Texas Tech in their last game. 

WR Worthy, Xavier 

WR Mitchell, Adonai 

WR Whittington, Jordan 

TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion 

QB Murphy, Maalik  

RB Brooks, Jonathon

WR Williams, Savion 

WR Wright, Dylan  

WR Richardson, JP 

TE Wiley, Jared 

QB Hoover, Josh 

RB Bailey, Emani 

Passing: Q. Ewers (1915)

Rushing: J. Brooks (1035)

Receiving: X. Worthy (620)

Touchdowns: J. Brooks (9)

Passing: C. Morris (1509)

Rushing: E. Bailey (908)

Receiving: J. Richardson (437)

Touchdowns: T. Sanders (5)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (3rd season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (2nd season)