Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2023

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 1, 2023

Venue:  Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +1, TCU -1; Over/Under:  150 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +1, TCU -1; Over/Under:  150 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +1, TCU -1; Over/Under:  150 points

Texas Longhorns:  22-7 (11-5) (2nd place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  19-10 (8-8) (5th place, Big 12)

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Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

TCU Horned Frogs:  2-3  last 5

Texas is coming into this game with a 22-7 record overall and they are 4-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 11-5 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Baylor Bears in their last game. Dylan Disu led the team in points in that game with 24 while Tyrese Hunter was next on the team with 13 points. Marcus Carr led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Timmy Allen led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 45% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 12-17 this season and their O/U record is 16-10-3.

TCU is coming into this game with a 19-10 record overall and they are 12-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 8-8 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a win against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in their last game. Mike Miles led the team in points in that game with 24 while JaKobe Coles was next on the team with 15 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Emanuel Miller led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 48.5% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 15-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-13.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 1 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams enter this game as ranked teams and both have had their struggles this season but each team has also been a lot better in home games all year. TCU has a 19-10 record overall and they are only 8-8 in their conference games but they have been a really good home team with a 12-4 home record. They haven't been great lately but they were also dealing with injuries to 2 of their key players in the starting lineup and they have been a lot better since getting them both back. Texas enters this game as a much higher ranked team with their 22-7 record overall and their 11-5 conference record making them the 2nd best team in the Big 12, but they haven't been great in their road games with a losing 4-5 road record and they just lost another road game in their last one which was also against a ranked team just like this game. Texas has been struggling in road games all season and TCU has been playing a lot better now that they are healthy again. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 1, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 81 Texas 77.

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Texas Longhorns: 5-10 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 17-29 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 34-20 OVER against conference opponents.

TCU Horned Frogs: 12-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 24-18 ATS after playing a game as an underdog. 28-12 OVER off a road win.

Texas Longhorns:  R. Brumbaugh (G) out for season - Redshirt.

TCU Horned Frogs:  S. Doumbia (C) Ques Wed - Concussion. R. Walker (G) Ques Wed - Arm. E. Lampkin Jr. (C) Ques Wed - Undisclosed.

“March is about finishing. You have to finish halves. You have to finish your cuts. You have to finish possessions. The team that embraces that, they have a chance to advance deep into March.” - Rodney Terry on what his team needs to do for the NCAA Tournament in March.

“Emanuel I thought made a terrific play feeding JaKobe. We said that would be open, and we wanted to get it inside because we figured they’d foul Mike if we got it out front again.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s win against Texas Tech in their last game. 

T. Allen 

M. Carr 

D. Disu 

T. Hunter 

D. Mitchell

D. Baugh 

E. Lampkin 

M. Miles 

E. Miller 

C. O'Bannon

PPG: M. Carr (16.8)

APG: M. Carr (4.1)

Reb/G: T. Allen (5.6)

PPG: M. Miles Jr. (18)

APG: D. Baugh (6)

Reb/G: E. Miller (6.4)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (Interim)

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)