Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/10/2026

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 10, 2026

Venue:  Cotton Bowl Stadium, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -7.5, Oklahoma +7.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -7.5, Oklahoma +7.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -7.5, Oklahoma +7.5; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  4-0 (1-0) (3rd place, SEC)

Oklahoma Sooners:  2-2 (0-1) (13th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  won their last game on the road against the Tennessee Volunteers 20-17.

Oklahoma Sooners:  lost their last game on the road against the Georgia Bulldogs 41-13.

Texas is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Tennessee 20-17. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 14/19 passes for 201 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Raleek Brown led the team in rushing yards with 67 and 2 TDs. Ryan Wingo led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Rasheem Biles led the defense in that game with 11 tackles while Colin Simmons led the defense in sacks with 5.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Oklahoma is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 41-13. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 25/34 passes for 231 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Lloyd Avant led the team in rushing yards with 23. Rocky Beers led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Kip Lewis and Omarion Robinson each led the defense in that game with 5 tackles while Kip Lewis and Jayden Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 0.5. Omarion Robinson came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked great in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall and their 1-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They haven't played any neutral site games this season and will be playing their first one here. Meanwhile, Oklahoma hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-2 record overall and their 0-1 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They will be playing their first neutral site game of the year here. Oklahoma has had a terrible start to the season and now it looks like they could be heading for a disaster year. They were ranked inside the top 25 entering the season, but they have looked so bad that they are no longer ranked. They are coming off a 41-13 loss to Georgia in their last one and even though they do have a great defense, their offense has looked terrible. They have had a lot of trouble just moving the ball and they aren't going to have it any easier here against the 1st ranked team in the nation with one of the best defenses too. Texas is coming off a 20-17 win over Tennessee in their last one and they didn't look great in that win, but that score is also a lot closer than the game actually was. Texas was in control of that game and they also have the best win of the season with a 24-23 comeback win against Ohio State. The offense hasn't looked great, but they will get better as the season goes on. They also have an elite defense that isn't going to give up much here with how bad that Oklahoma offense has looked. This is a great opportunity for Texas to beat up on Oklahoma while they are down and show why they are the best team in the nation. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 10, 2026 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 23 Oklahoma 6.

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Texas Longhorns: 6-11 ATS against conference opponents. 3-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 5-11 ATS on the road in all lined games. 12-5 UNDER against conference opponents. 9-4 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.

Oklahoma Sooners: 6-2 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 6-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses. 29-19 ATS off a road loss. 18-9 UNDER against FBS division opponents. 6-2 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 

Texas Longhorns:  C. Coleman (WR) Probable - Back. D. McCutcheon (WR) Questionable - Illness. T. Goosby (OG) Questionable - Knee. N. Townsend (TE) Questionable - Knee. H. Smothers (RB) Questionable - Ankle.

Oklahoma Sooners:  D. Stone (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Carter (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lewis (LB) Questionable - Knee. T. Harris (WR) Out - Back.

“It's just kind of a little bit of a tradition here at Tennessee, so we had cigars or somebody had cigars in there. I’m not certain. So my suit’s probably going to stink whenever I get on the plane.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Tennessee in their last game.

“To compete and win the game, obviously the number one priority is taking care of the football and certainly we failed miserably in doing that. We've got to get out of our own way and give ourselves an opportunity without being careless with the football at the end of the day.” - Brent Venables after his team’s loss against Georgia in their last game. 

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Wingo, Ryan

WR Mosley V, Emmett

TE Shannon, Spencer

QB Manning, Arch

RB Smothers, Hollywood

WR Thomas, Elijah

WR Livingstone, Parker

WR Sategna III, Isaiah

TE Beers, Rocky

QB Mateer, John

RB Avant, Lloyd

Passing: Arch Manning (862)

Rushing: Hollywood Smothers (198)

Receiving: Ryan Wingo (239)

Touchdowns: Cam Coleman (4)

Passing: John Mateer (883)

Rushing: Lloyd Avant (164)

Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III (267)

Touchdowns: Isaiah Sategna III (2)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (6th season)

Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (5th season)