Texas Longhorns vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 14, 2026

Venue:  Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +4, LSU -4; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +4, LSU -4; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +4.5, LSU -4.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  7-2 (4-2) (4th place, SEC)

LSU Tigers:  6-3 (3-3) (8th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  won their last game on the road against the Missouri Tigers 34-20.

LSU Tigers:  lost their last game at home against the Alabama Crimson Tide 31-13.

Texas is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 34-20. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 297 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raleek Brown led the team in rushing yards with 85 and 1 TD. Emmett Mosley V led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Rasheem Biles led the defense in that game with 7 tackles while Colton Vasek led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

LSU is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Alabama 31-13. Sam Leavitt was the starting QB and he completed 35/47 passes for 380 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Dilin Jones led the team in rushing yards with 56 and 1 TD. Jackson Harris led the receivers with 166 receiving yards on 11 receptions. TJ Dottery led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while DJ Pickett and Ty Benefield each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 2-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, LSU has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 3-3 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked great on their home field too with their 5-1 home record this season. LSU has been rolling over a lot of the bad teams in the SEC this year, but they have had a big issue playing against teams at the top of the conference. Their defense hasn't been the elite defense that they were supposed to be and their offense has also had a lot of issues with Leavitt not looking great at times. They are coming off a 31-13 home loss to Alabama in their last one and that was their 3rd loss of the season, so making the CFP seems very unlikely after that embarrassing performance at home. Lane Kiffin will be a good hire in the long run, but this 1st season has been a disaster with the money spent on their roster. They will be looking to bounce back here with another big home game against a ranked opponent, but they haven't shown all year that they can hang in these games. Texas has looked like a playoff team though and after tripping up with 2 losses in a row a few weeks ago, they have righted the ship. They are coming off a 34-20 road win over Missouri in their last one and that offense has been starting to roll lately with Arch Manning looking a lot better. They also have one of the best defenses in the SEC with the talent that they have and this is going to be another big game that LSU struggles in against a true contender. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 24 LSU 20.

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Texas Longhorns: 35-27 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 4.5 yards/play or less. 33-16 ATS on the road when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 31-23 ATS on the road after playing their last game on the road. 6-3 UNDER in road lined games. 8-3 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins.

LSU Tigers: 13-22 ATS in all lined games. 3-10 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 6-11 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 11-6 UNDER as a home favorite. 11-6 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

Texas Longhorns:  C. Simmons (DL) Questionable - Ankle. H. Smothers (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. McCutcheon (WR) Questionable - Illness. T. Goosby (OG) Out - Knee. Z. Williams (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lockett (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

LSU Tigers:  R. Guillory Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Green (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Brown (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Singleton (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Wright III (WR) Out - Undisclosed. D. Spears (S) Out - Knee.

“Anybody can play good football when it's easy. How do you play it when it's hard? We had some guys go through some hard moments today, and we didn't give up on them, and they went out and competed some more.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game. 

“I just felt like field goals weren’t going to win the game. It was just a feeling that we were going to need some touchdowns.” - Lane Kiffin after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game. 

WR Wingo, Ryan

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Mosley V, Emmett

TE Masunas, Michael

QB Manning, Arch

RB Brown, Raleek

WR Wilson III, Eugene

WR Harris, Jackson

WR Watkins Jr., Winston

TE Green, Trey'Dez

QB Leavitt, Sam

RB Jones, Dilin

Passing: Arch Manning (2,024)

Rushing: Raleek Brown (537)

Receiving: Ryan Wingo (523)

Touchdowns: Raleek Brown (8)

Passing: Sam Leavitt (2,553)

Rushing: Dilin Jones (713)

Receiving: Jackson Harris (800)

Touchdowns: Sam Leavitt (8)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (6th season)

LSU Tigers: Lane Kiffin (1st season)