Texas Longhorns vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/05/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Nov 04, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 5, 2022
Venue:  Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas Longhorns:  5-3 (3-2) (5th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  6-2 (4-1) (2nd place, Big 12)
 
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Recent Form
Texas Longhorns:  lost their last game on the road against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 41-34.
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 48-0.

 

Texas Longhorns vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Texas is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 0-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-2. They lost against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game on the road 41-34. Quinn Ewers started that game at QB and he completed 19/49 passes for 319 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing with 140 yards and 1 TD on 24 rushing attempts. Xavier Worthy led the team in receiving with 78 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Jahdae Barron led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. Jaylan Ford and DeMarvion Overshown each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Ryan Watts came away with the only interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Kansas State is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 4-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 6th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-1. They won against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game at home 48-0. Will Howard started that game at QB and he completed 21/37 passes for 296 yards and 4 touchdowns. Deuce Vaughn led the team in rushing with 158 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries. Malik Knowles led the team in receiving with 113 yards on 8 receptions. Nick Allen led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Brendan Mott, Felix Anudike, and Krew Jackson each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Krew Jackson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

Texas vs Kansas State Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. KSU has been having a great season as they are 2nd place in the Big 12 and this is a huge game for them as there are no other 4-1 teams in their conference so they can really spread the gap between them and 3rd place with a win here and they will be that much closer to the Big 12 title game. This game is also very important to Texas though as a win for them would tie KSU in conference record at 4-2 and even give Texas the H2H against them. Texas just had their bye week so they are really prepared for this game but they blew a late lead to Oklahoma State in their last game losing it when this KSU team is going to have a ton of confidence from their last win as they shut out that same Oklahoma State team 48-0 here at home. Kansas State is going to be looking to deliver the same fate to Texas here and they have been a really good team in their home games. Texas has only played 2 games on the road this season and both were losses where they blew a lead in the game. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game.
 
Texas Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 5, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is KSU 31 Texas 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Texas Longhorns: 7-14 ATS against conference opponents. 4-9 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 30-21 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Kansas State Wildcats: 18-11 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS in home games. 7-1 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas Longhorns:  B. Liebrock (TE) Ques Sat - Shoulder. J. Alexis (WR) Ques Sat - Knee. I. Neyor (WR) out for season - Knee. J. Angilau (OL) out for season - Knee.
Kansas State Wildcats:  A. Martinez (QB) Ques Sat - Lower Body. W. Honas (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. T. Poitier (OL) out for season - Knee.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“My biggest thing for Quinn is ... that playing quarterback, when you win you probably get too much credit and when you lose you probably get too much blame. And you have to be careful to ride that emotional roller coaster of the highs and the lows of the perception from the outside." - Steve Sarkisian on his starting QB after his team’s loss against Oklahoma State in their last game.
 
 
“We have flipped the page. We’ve got the next one on the docket, and it’s Texas coming off of an open week. I know they’re extremely well-coached. They’ve got great talent, but they’ll have some things for us that I’m sure we haven’t seen that we’ll have to adapt and adjust.” - Chris Klieman on his team’s upcoming game against Texas here.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Cain, Casey
WR Whittington, Jordan 
TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion
QB Ewers, Quinn
RB Robinson, Bijan 
 
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Knowles, Malik
WR Warner, Kade
WR Brooks, Phillip 
TE Sinnott, Ben
QB Martinez, Adrian
RB Vaughn, Deuce
FB Moore, Christian 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas Longhorns
Passing: Q. Ewers (1139)
Rushing: B. Robinson (920)
Receiving: X. Worthy (510)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (13)
 
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: A. Martinez (907)
Rushing: D. Vaughn (902)
Receiving: M. Knowles (447)
Touchdowns: A. Martinez (9)
 
Coaches:
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (2nd season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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