by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 04, 2021
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 6, 2021
Venue: Jack Trice Stadium, St, Ames, IA
Where to Watch: FS1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas +6.5, ISU -6.5; Over/Under: 60 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas +6.5, ISU -6.5; Over/Under: 60 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas +6.5, ISU -6.5; Over/Under: 60.5 points
Season Record
Texas Longhorns: 4-4 (6th place, Big 12)
Iowa State Cyclones: 5-3 (4th place, Big 12)
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Texas Longhorns vs Iowa State Cyclones Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Texas Longhorns: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the Baylor Bears 31-24.
Iowa State Cyclones: lost on the road on Oct. 30 against the West Virginia Mountaineers 38-31.
Texas Longhorns Analysis
Texas is coming into this game with a 4-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 6th conference matchup of the year and they are pretty much out of the running with a 2-3 record in their conference games this season. They are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. They lost that game to Baylor 31-24 in a game that they had a lead in for most of the time and blew it late in the fourth quarter to lose the game. Casey Thompson played alright in that game but he also struggled at times as he completed 23/38 passes for 280 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing with 43 yards and 1 touchdown on 17 carries but they did not really have much of a run game in that one. Xavier Worthy had a nice day as he led the receivers with 115 yards and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Marcus Washington led the team in receptions with 7 for 70 yards. Joshua Moore caught the other touchdown pass in that game for them. Ovie Oghoufo and Luke Brockermeyer both led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one each. No one on the defense recorded a sack in that game but Brockermeyer and B.J. Foster both came away with 1 interception each for them in that one. They have scored 315 points in their 8 games this season averaging 39.4 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to sco4re 238 points against them allowing 29.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 447.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 434.3 YPG.
Iowa State Cyclones Analysis
ISU is coming into this game with a 5-3 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in an alright position but not the best one with a 3-2 record in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. They lost their last game 38-31 to WVU in a game that was back and forth the entire first half going into halftime tied and they even led in the third quarter but then blew the lead in the fourth quarter and went on to lose that game. Brock Purdy played alright in that game as he completed 16/27 passes for 185 yards and 1 touchdown. Breece Hall had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 167 yards and 1 touchdown on 24 carries while Purdy also ran 1 TD in himself. Tarique Milton led the receivers with 68 yards and 1 touchdown on 1 reception while Xavier Hutchinson had 51 yards on 6 receptions. Datrone Young led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Kym-Mani King was right behind him with 6 solo tackles. No one on the defense recorded any sacks in that game but Jake Hummel and Craig McDonald both came away with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 257 points in their 8 games this season averaging 32.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 157 points against them allowing 19.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 428.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 291.9 YPG.
Texas vs Iowa State Prediction
Texas is coming into this game as a 6.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas is on a losing streak right now and they have not been finishing their games well. They are staying competitive in these games and even getting leads but blowing them late in the game. They will be hungry and desperate for a win in this game to snap out of the slump they are in and after blowing a lead to Baylor late in their last game, they should come much better prepared for that in this game. ISU is a good team but their offense is not the greatest and they are not going to pull away by a lot against a team like Texas. The best bet to place in this game is on Texas to cover the spread here as this will be a much closer game.
Texas Iowa State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 6, 2021 (7:30 pm ET start time) is ISU 34 Texas 30.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas Longhorns: 189-174 ATS in all games. 40-36 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 54-45 ATS as an underdog. 23-18 ATS as a road underdog. 68-64 ATS in road games. 127-115 ATS against conference opponents.
Iowa State Cyclones: 14-20 O/U as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 99-131 O/U in all games. 31-46 O/U as a favorite. 18-32 O/U as a home favorite. 50-65 O/U in home games. 76-92 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Texas Longhorns: J. Moore (WR) Ques Sat - Disciplinary. K. Crawford (DB) Ques Sat - Hamstring injury. J. Whittington (WR) out for season - Shoulder injury.
Iowa State Cyclones: None.
Notable Quotes
“That was a tough one to swallow. Anytime you lose a game like that, with a little bit of the trend that we've had now for three consecutive weeks, that's tough, it's tough on our locker room.” - Steve Sarkisian on his team’s loss in their last game.
"From my standpoint, a lot of credit to coach (Neal) Brown and his kids. We have respect for who they are and what they are." - Matt Campbell on the way WVU played against them in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Moore, Joshua
WR Washington, Marcus
TE Brewer, Cade
QB Thompson, Casey
RB Robinson, Bijan
Iowa State Cyclones
WR Hutchinson, Xavier
WR Shaw Jr., Sean
WR Milton, Tarique
TE Kolar, Charlie
TE Rus, Jared
QB Purdy, Brock
RB Hall, Breece
Statistical Leaders
Texas Longhorns
Passing: C. Thompson (1554)
Rushing: B. Robinson (967)
Receiving: X. Worthy (674)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (11)
Iowa State Cyclones
Passing: B. Purdy (1833)
Rushing: B. Hall (985)
Receiving: X. Hutchinson (590)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (12)
Coaches:
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (1st year)
Iowa State Cyclones: Matt Campbell (6th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
