Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023

Venue:  McLane Stadium, Waco, TX 

Where to Watch:  ABC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -14.5, Baylor +14.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -14.5, Baylor +14.5; Over/Under:  49 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -14.5, Baylor +14.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  3-0 (0-0) (5th place, Big 12)

Baylor Bears:  1-2 (0-0) (12th place, Big 12)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in CFB with a 13-6 start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at home against the Wyoming Cowboys 31-10.

Baylor Bears:  won their last game at home against the Long Island Sharks 30-7.

Texas is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Wyoming 31-10. Quinn Ewers was the starting QB and he completed 11/21 passes for 131 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jonathon Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 164. Xavier Worthy led the receivers with 56 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jahdae Barron led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Barryn Sorrell led the defense in sacks with 1. Jerrin Thompson came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Baylor is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against LIU 30-7. Sawyer Robertson was the starting QB and he completed 10/22 passes for 113 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Dawson Pendergrass led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 1 TD. Ketron Jackson Jr. led the receivers with 29 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Jeremy Evans led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Byron Vaughns led the defense in sacks with 2. Carl Williams IV came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas is 3-0 this season and they have looked good in their games. They have started off slower in their 2 games against lesser opponents but they still pulled off some big double digit wins in those games and they showed up when they needed to most as they did pull off an upset win over Alabama on the road. They are ranked as one of the best teams in the country this year and Baylor is running into them at the wrong time here. Baylor has struggled a lot this season with a 1-2 record overall and all 3 of their games have been at home too. They are at home again to open up their conference play here but they are also missing their starting QB for this game. They were struggling a lot with him in and now that he is injured, Baylor has no chance of staying in this game against a team like Texas. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game.

Texas Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Texas 41 Baylor 17.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

Texas Longhorns: 5-9 ATS as a road favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 3-6 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 8-1 UNDER after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 13-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49.

Baylor Bears: 9-3 ATS as an underdog. 10-4 ATS in home games. 8-3 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 25-15 UNDER as a home underdog. 20-11 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.

Texas Longhorns:  C. Hutson (OL) Late Oct - Undisclosed. K. Ross (DL) Late Oct - Undisclosed. C. Baxter (RB) Ques Sat - Ribs.

Baylor Bears:  B. Shapen (QB) Early Oct - Knee. D. Richardson (RB) Ques Sat - Ankle. D. Lemear (S) Out indefinitely - Elbow.

“We had a lot of sore backs from people patting us on the back congratulating us. It’s human nature to get distracted by that and you lose sight of what’s right in front of you.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Wyoming in their last game. 

"For us to win, I think there has to be the line of scrimmage on both sides being really kind of separate from the skill on both sides. Whether that's front seven or that's tight ends and O-line and running backs doing their thing so that causes the defense to have to adjust and, if offensively we're doing that, defense's bringing people in. If defensively we're doing that, then we can bring people out." - Dave Aranda on his team’s upcoming game against Texas this week.

WR Worthy, Xavier 

WR Mitchell, Adonai 

WR Whittington, Jordan 

TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion 

QB Ewers, Quinn 

RB Baxter, CJ

WR Jackson Jr., Ketron 

WR Presley, Hal 

WR Baldwin, Monaray 

TE Dabney, Drake 

QB Shapen, Blake 

RB Richardson, Dominic  

Passing: Q. Ewers (740)

Rushing: J. Brooks (273)

Receiving: X. Worthy (221)

Touchdowns: A. Mitchell (3)

Passing: S. Robertson (444)

Rushing: D. Richardson (156)

Receiving: K. Jackson Jr. (168)

Touchdowns: D. Dabney (3)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (3rd season)

Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (4th season)