Texas Longhorns vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2023

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 25, 2023

Venue:  Ferrell Center, Waco, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +3.5, Baylor -3.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +3.5, Baylor -3.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +3.5, Baylor -3.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  22-6 (11-4) (2nd place, Big 12)

Baylor Bears:  20-8 (9-6) (4th place, Big 12)

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Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

Baylor Bears:  3-2  last 5

Texas is coming into this game with a 22-6 record overall and they are 4-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 11-4 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Oklahoma Sooners and the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Tyrese Hunter and Jabari Rice each led the team in points in that game with 15 while Marcus Carr was next on the team with 13 points. Marcus Carr led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Timmy Allen led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.4% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 54.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.4 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and their O/U record is 15-10-3.

Baylor is coming into this game with a 20-8 record overall and they are 13-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-6 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Kansas Jayhawks and the Kansas State Wildcats in their last game. Keyonte George led the team in points in that game with 23 while LJ Cryer was next on the team with 16 points. LJ Cryer led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 40% from the field, 39.3% from 3-point range, and 62.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-14.

The current betting odds have Baylor listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams enter this game as ranked teams and both are also ranked inside the top 10 in the country so this is a very high profile matchup. Baylor has been great this season with their 20-8 record overall and they are 9-6 in their conference games which is one of the better records in the Big 12 this season. They have lost 2 games in a row now as they have been in a mini slump but they have also been a really good home team all year with their 13-2 home record and they will be looking to bounce back on their home court here against one of the best in the country. Texas has also been really good this season with their 22-6 record overall and they are 11-4 in their conference games making them one of the best in the Big 12, but they are only 4-4 in their road games this year and they have been vulnerable in these road games. The NCAA Tournament is around the corner so these teams are still looking to prove themselves but a win for Baylor at home would be really good to help boost their confidence and they are going to bring their best effort for a team of this quality. The best way to place a bet here is on Baylor to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 25, 2023 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Baylor 86 Texas 80.

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Texas Longhorns: 4-12 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. 14-24 ATS off a home win. 16-6 OVER after playing 2 consecutive home games.

Baylor Bears: 13-7 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses. 12-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 36-25 OVER off an upset loss as a favorite.

Texas Longhorns:  R. Brumbaugh (G) out for season - Redshirt.

Baylor Bears:  D. Grimes (G) out for season - Redshirt.

“This was a great team win. We did a great job with our physicality. We guarded really hard tonight. This league is tough, man. Every night, it's an elite level (opponent).” - Rodney Terry after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game. 

“I thought it was another typical Big 12 game. K-State played like you're supposed to on your home court. I thought Keyontae Johnson, we really had trouble matching up with him pretty much all night, and then Nowell struggled from the field but 10 assists, zero turnovers. That's why they're first-team all-leaguers.” - Scott Drew after his team’s loss against KSU in their last game. 

T. Allen 

M. Carr 

D. Disu 

T. Hunter 

D. Mitchell

J. Bridges 

L. Cryer 

A. Flagler 

K. George 

F. Thamba

PPG: M. Carr (17)

APG: M. Carr (4.1)

Reb/G: T. Allen (5.4)

PPG: K. George (16.9)

APG: A. Flagler (4.9)

Reb/G: J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (Interim)

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (20th season)