Texas Longhorns vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/10/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 10, 2026

Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  179.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  179.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas +13.5, Alabama -13.5; Over/Under:  179.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  9-6 (0-2) (15th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  11-4 (1-1) (8th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  2-3  last 5

Alabama Crimson Tide:  4-1  last 5

Texas is entering this game with a 9-6 record overall, a 0-2 record in conference games, and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Tramon Mark led the team in points in that game with 20 while Camden Heide was next on the team with 16. Dailyn Swain led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Tramon Mark led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 38.6% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.2 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 7-7 this season and their O/U record is 9-5.

Alabama is entering this game with an 11-4 record overall, a 1-1 conference record, and they are 6-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last game. Amari Allen led the team in points in that game with 25 while Aden Holloway was next on the team with 22. Amari Allen led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Amari Allen and London Jemison each led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.1% from the field, 22.5% from 3-point range, and 76.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 93.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 82.1 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 6-8 this season and their O/U record is 7-7.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked good in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them in the middle of the SEC. They have looked good on their home court too with their 6-1 home record this year. Meanwhile, Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 9-6 record overall, but their 0-2 conference record has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They haven't been a great road team either with their 0-2 road record this season. Texas has struggled a lot since conference play started, but they haven't looked that good for most of the season and are also 2-3 in their last 5 games. They are off a double digit loss to Tennessee in their last one and they are going to have an issue keeping up with Alabama's offense in this one. Alabama is off a loss to Vanderbilt in their last one and that was their first conference loss of the year, but Vandy has looked like one of the best teams in the SEC this year. Alabama will be looking to bounce back after that loss, a game where they still put up 90 points, and they still have one of the best offenses in the nation this year. They have looked good lately too, going 4-1 in their last 5 games, and they have been rolling over bad opponents in their games lately. Alabama will be looking to bounce back at home with a big win so look for Texas to struggle again on the road here. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 10, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 94 Texas 72.

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Texas Longhorns: 7-15 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 7-13 ATS after playing a road game. 6-14 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 9-1 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 20-4 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 23-16 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 15-8 ATS after playing a road game. 22-14 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 7-2 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. 10-2 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Texas Longhorns:  None.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  A. Sherrell (F) Questionable - Lower Body. D. Hannah (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Onyejiaka (C) Out - Undisclosed.

“If you can't play with effort, it's going to be a very, very hard next couple months. I think you'll see that. Our lineup has to change. I can't keep playing certain guys. We're at that point where we're just going to have to go whoever is ready to play hard. We have to go with them, because that's going to be our best bet.” - Sean Miller after his team’s loss against Tennessee in their last game. 

"They were ready to go. We weren't. I gotta do a better job making sure guys are ready at the beginning. We had four turnovers right out of the gate. Labaron had, I think, three of those, so that kind of fed them. We ended up settling down a little bit, not turning it over as much as it went on. We didn't move the ball well enough tonight. And a lot of that's Vanderbilt's defense–– they're good, play hard on both ends. Mark's done a really good job getting his guys to give effort on the defensive end. I thought Tanner was great. Our guards couldn't stay in front of him. He ends up with 29. Goes by us pretty much every time he wanted.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Vandy in their last game. 

C. Heide 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

D. Swain 

M. Vokietaitis

T. Bowen 

A. Holloway 

H. Mallette 

L. Philon 

A. Sherrell

PPG: Dailyn Swain (15.6)

APG: Dailyn Swain (3.5)

Reb/G: Dailyn Swain (7.1)

PPG: Labaron Philon Jr. (21.3)

APG: Labaron Philon Jr. (5.1)

Reb/G: Amari Allen (7.6)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Sean Miller (1st season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (7th season)