by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 26, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, December 27, 2023
Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas A&M -2, OK State +2; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas A&M -2, OK State +2; Over/Under: 53 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas A&M -2, OK State +2; Over/Under: 53 points
Season Record
Texas A&M Aggies: 7-5 (4-4) (4th place, SEC West)
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 9-4 (7-3) (3rd place, Big 12)
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Texas A&M Aggies: lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 42-30.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Texas Longhorns 49-21.
Texas A&M Aggies vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview and Analysis
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 7-5 record overall and they have a 4-4 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 42-30. Jaylen Henderson was the starting QB and he completed 25/35 passes for 294 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Le'Veon Moss led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. Jahdae Walker led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jacoby Mathews led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 9-4 record overall and they have a 7-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 49-21. Alan Bowman was the starting QB and he completed 22/38 passes for 250 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ollie Gordon led the team in rushing yards with 34. Brennan Presley led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. Nickolas Martin led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Nathan Latu led the defense in sacks with 1. Nickolas Martin came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State Prediction
The current betting odds have Oklahoma State listed as a 2 point underdog in this Texas Bowl game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma State has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-4 record overall and their 7-2 conference record which got them to the Big 12 Championship. They looked terrible in the Big 12 Championship as they were blown out by Texas but Texas is also in the college football playoff. Oklahoma State will be looking to bounce back with a better performance here to finish the year off and they don't have many players entering the transfer portal either. Meanwhile, Texas A&M hasn't looked great this season with their 7-5 record overall and they had another disaster season, now firing their head coach Jimbo Fisher too. They already have their new head coach for next season but they are more focused on next year and will not be motivated to win this game under their interim head coach. They also have a lot more players entering the transfer portal and this season has already been a big write off for them too. Oklahoma State has a lot more to play for here after the season they had and they will be looking to use this game as a way to start next year on a positive note. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma State to cover the spread in this game.
Texas A&M Oklahoma State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Wednesday, December 27, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is OK State 38 Texas A&M 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Texas A&M Aggies: 1-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 2-4 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 9-3 UNDER in non-conference games. 7-1 UNDER after gaining 100 or less rushing yards last game. 26-18 UNDER after allowing 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: 11-6 ATS as an underdog. 11-5 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 14-5 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 9-4 UNDER in minor bowl games (played in December). 10-2 UNDER as a neutral field underdog. 8-2 UNDER against SEC opponents.
Key Injuries
Texas A&M Aggies: M. Johnson (QB) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. E. Stewart (WR) Ques Wed - Undisclosed. A. Smith (WR) out for season - Finger. E. White (DL) out for season - Lower Body. R. Cottrell (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. C. Weigman (QB) out for season - Ankle. J. Gilbert (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Green (TE) out for season - Knee.
Oklahoma State Cowboys: E. Collins (RB) Ques Wed - Ankle. J. Nixon (RB) Ques Wed - Personal. T. Shettron (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Wright (LB) out for season - Redshirt. D. Stribling (WR) out for season - Arm.
Notable Quotes
“He’s a dynamic player and he’s up for the Heisman for a reason. At any given point, he can make a play — and he did." - Elijah Robinson on Jayden Daniels after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game of the college football regular season.
“We sure make it hard on ourselves to get to where we want to go. That was a really good win for our team. I'm very proud of them.” - Mike Gundy after his team’s win against BYU in their last game of the college football regular season, before losing to Texas in the Big 12 Championship.
Starting Lineups
Texas A&M Aggies
WR Walker, Jahdae
WR Thomas, Noah
WR Muhammad III, Moose
TE Wright, Max
QB Henderson, Jaylen
RB Daniels, Amari
FB Crownover, Earnest
Oklahoma State Cowboys
WR Johnson III, Leon
WR Owens, Rashod
WR Presley, Brennan
TE Johnson, Josiah
QB Bowman, Alan
RB Gordon II, Ollie
FB Cassity, Braden
Statistical Leaders
Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: M. Johnson (1452)
Rushing: A. Daniels (514)
Receiving: A. Smith (795)
Touchdowns: N. Thomas (5)
Oklahoma State Cowboys
Passing: A. Bowman (3058)
Rushing: O. Gordon II (1614)
Receiving: B. Presley (839)
Touchdowns: O. Gordon II (21)
Coaches:
Texas A&M Aggies: Elijah Robinson (Interim)
Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Gundy (19th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
