Texas A&M Aggies vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/18/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Venue:  Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TAMU +3.5, MS State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TAMU +3.5, MS State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TAMU +3.5, MS State -3.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points

Texas A&M Aggies:  20-5 (9-3) (4th place, SEC)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  18-7 (6-6) (8th place, SEC)

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Texas A&M Aggies:  5-0  last 5

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  2-3  last 5

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 20-5 record overall, a 9-3 record in conference games, and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Wade Taylor IV led the team in points per game in that game with 18 while Zhuric Phelps was next on the team with 12. Wade Taylor IV led the team in assists with 9 in that game while Zhuric Phelps led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.1% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.4 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 14-8-3 this season and their O/U record is 8-17.

Mississippi State is entering this game with an 18-7 record overall, a 6-6 conference record, and they are 8-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Mississippi Rebels in their last game. RJ Melendez led the team in points in that game with 17 while Josh Hubbard was next on the team with 14. Cameron Matthews and Josh Hubbard each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Cameron Matthews and KeShawn Murphy each led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 43.1% from the field, 25.9% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.7 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 11-14 this season and their O/U record is 14-11.

The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 20-5 record overall and their 9-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have been a good road team so far with their 4-3 road record too. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has looked good in their games this season with their 18-7 record overall, but their 6-6 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked good on their home court with their 8-4 home record, but they definitely haven't been dominant there with 4 losses this season. They are coming off a big road win over Ole Miss in their last one, getting their revenge in a big rivalry game, but they haven't looked that good lately as they are 2-3 in their last 5 games and might be due for a let down after that big win. Texas A&M has been rolling lately as they are coming off a win over Arkansas in their last one, and they have a lot of momentum on their side with 5 wins in a row now. They have also won their last 2 road games and have some impressive wins over ranked teams on the road this season. They can take advantage of Mississippi State coming off that big Ole Miss win, especially since Mississippi State has been in a slump lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Mississippi State to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas A&M Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 18, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 74 MS State 71.

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Texas A&M Aggies: 9-4 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 21-13 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 25-16 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 30-17 1H UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-6 1H UNDER off a home win against a conference rival. 

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 4-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 3-9 ATS off a road win. 12-20 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 20-14 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 18-9 1H UNDER after playing a road game.

Texas A&M Aggies:  None.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  K. Clary (G) Out - Leg.

"For us to have our 20th win on the day after Valentine's Day, our 9th SEC win, and another high Quadrant win is great. We have to be present in this moment because this upcoming week will be harder." - Buzz Williams after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game. 

"I don't know how much of it was them, or us. Tonight it was much better." He was speaking specifically of State guarding the three-point arc much, much better than in their league losses.” - Chris Jans after his team’s win against Ole Miss in their last game. 

H. Coleman 

H. Hefner 

Z. Phelps 

W. Taylor 

S. Washington

C. Harris 

J. Hubbard 

C. Matthews 

R. Melendez 

M. Nwoko

PPG: W. Taylor (15.1)

APG: W. Taylor (4.5)

Reb/G: A. Garcia (5.5)

PPG: J. Hubbard (17.4)

APG: C. Matthews (4)

Reb/G: K. Murphy (7.5)

Coaches:

Texas A&M Aggies: Buzz Williams (6th season)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (3rd season)