Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 1, 2025
Venue: Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Texas A&M +8.5, Florida -8.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Texas A&M +8.5, Florida -8.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Texas A&M +8.5, Florida -8.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
Season Record
Texas A&M Aggies: 20-8 (9-6) (6th place, SEC)
Florida Gators: 24-4 (11-4) (3rd place, SEC)
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Texas A&M Aggies: 2-3 last 5
Florida Gators: 4-1 last 5
Texas A&M Aggies vs Florida Gators Preview and Analysis
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 20-8 record overall, a 9-6 record in conference games, and they are 4-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last game. Pharrel Payne led the team in points per game in that game with 23 while Wade Taylor IV was next on the team with 21. Wade Taylor IV led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Andersson Garcia led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 37.1% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 79.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.7 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 14-11-3 this season and their O/U record is 10-18.
Florida is entering this game with a 24-4 record overall, an 11-4 conference record, and they are 13-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Will Richard led the team in points in that game with 30 while Walter Clayton Jr. was next on the team with 18. Walter Clayton Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Micah Handlogten led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 40.9% from the field, 34.4% from 3-point range, and 62.1% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.1 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 20-8 this season and their O/U record is 11-17.
Texas A&M vs Florida Prediction
The current betting odds have Florida listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked great in their games this season with their 24-4 record overall and their 11-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 13-1 home record. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 20-8 record overall and their 9-6 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They haven't been a great road team though with their 4-4 road record, and they haven't looked that great lately either. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games and have been in a big slump with 3 losses in a row now. They will be looking to bounce back in this one, but they aren't the only team here looking to bounce back. Florida has been the much hotter team lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have a lot of good wins this season, but they are coming off a bad loss to Georgia in their last one so they will be looking to bounce back too. They lost that road game by 5 points as it was a tighter game, but they were rolling over opponents before that and have been crushing teams on their home court all season. Texas A&M is a good team and they are ranked inside the top 25, but Florida is one of the best teams in the nation and will use this game to bounce back in a big way as they can take advantage of this slumping Texas A&M team that is falling apart at the wrong time in the season. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game.
Texas A&M Florida Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 1, 2025 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Florida 74 Texas A&M 60.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Texas A&M Aggies: 1-5 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 1-4 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite. 7-16 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 7-3 OVER after allowing 85 points or more. 19-10 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.
Florida Gators: 11-6 ATS versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts or less. 18-11 ATS after playing a road game. 22-13 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 10-3 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 9-5 OVER in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5.
Key Injuries
Texas A&M Aggies: None.
Florida Gators: S. Alexis (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. O. Rioux (C) Out - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
"I think we did good things, but there were too many tangible and intangible things. We didn't hit our ceiling and that includes me. We have to figure out how to hit our ceiling in the things we can touch and the things we can't touch. There can't be as much inconsistency as there has been over the past 10 days. It's an outlier stat. We're just not doing as good of a job as we have proven that we can do." - Buzz Williams after his team’s loss against Vandy in their last game.
"Disappointing loss. Credit to Georgia, I thought they played great in the first half and stepped up to the moment in a game they needed, played that way for the first 20 minutes. We just put ourselves in too big of a hole, obviously, getting down by 26 points 13 minutes into the game is not ideal when you're trying to win a basketball game.” - Todd Golden after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Texas A&M Aggies
H. Coleman
H. Hefner
Z. Phelps
W. Taylor
S. Washington
Florida Gators
R. Chinyelu
W. Clayton
A. Condon
A. Martin
W. Richard
Statistical Leaders
Texas A&M Aggies
PPG: W. Taylor (15.3)
APG: W. Taylor (4.8)
Reb/G: A. Garcia (5.9)
Florida Gators
PPG: W. Clayton (17.1)
APG: W. Clayton (4)
Reb/G: A. Condon (7.6)
Coaches:
Texas A&M Aggies: Buzz Williams (6th season)
Florida Gators: Todd Golden (3rd season)