Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX 

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M -6.5, Arkansas +6.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M -6.5, Arkansas +6.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M -6.5, Arkansas +6.5; Over/Under:  55.5 points

Texas A&M Aggies:  3-1 (1-0) (2nd place, SEC West)

Arkansas Razorbacks:  2-2 (0-1) (6th place, SEC West)

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Texas A&M Aggies:  won their last game at home against the Auburn Tigers 27-10.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 34-31.

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 27-10. Conner Weigman was the starting QB and he completed 8/14 passes for 70 passing yards before getting injured and replaced by Max Johnson who completed 7/11 passes for 123 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Le'Veon Moss led the team in rushing yards with 97 and 1 TD. Ainias Smith led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Taurean York led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Edgerrin Cooper led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Arkansas is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at a neutral site for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 34-31. KJ Jefferson was the starting QB and he completed 21/31 passes for 289 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Rashod Dubinion led the team in rushing yards with 78. Luke Hasz led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Al Walcott led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Keivie Rose led the defense in sacks with 1. Dwight McGlothern came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M lost to Miami-FL earlier this season but other than that 1 loss they have looked really good in their games. Their defense has been able to shut down the bad teams they have faced and their offense is putting up points when they need to. They did lose their only road game this season but luckily for them, this game is going to be on a neutral site in the state of Texas. Arkansas just came close to pulling off a big upset win over LSU on the road in their last game as they only lost by 3 points but this will be a bit of a let down spot for them. They lost to BYU at home the week before so they had a point to prove in their last game on the road against LSU and they put a lot of emotion into that game to win it but just came up short. Now they are playing what is supposed to be a home game but on a neutral site and they are going to have no advantage with this game being in Texas. Texas A&M also has their own point to prove after losing that game to Miami-FL so expect them to put up some offense in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game.

Texas A&M Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 41 Arkansas 24.

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Texas A&M Aggies: 5-16 ATS after allowing 75 or less passing yards in their last game. 14-25 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 9-4 UNDER after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10-5 UNDER after playing a game at home.

Arkansas Razorbacks: 8-4 ATS as an underdog. 36-22 ATS off 2 or more consecutive overs. 22-8 UNDER in games played on a neutral field. 13-5 UNDER as a neutral field underdog. 13-6 UNDER after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more.

Texas A&M Aggies:  C. Weigman (QB) day-to-day - Ankle. N. Thomas (WR) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Green (TE) out for season - Knee.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  R. Sanders (RB) day-to-day - Knee. S. Mbake (WR) out for season - Knee.

“We won the game and still didn’t play close to what we’re capable of. Hopefully we’ll get better and move on from here.” - Jimbo Fisher after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game. 

“LSU is one of the elite teams of this league and we played toe-to-toe at night with them on the road. Our kids played extremely hard. I really felt like we could come in and beat LSU tonight and fell three points short. ... Isn’t that ironic, another damn three-point loss?” - Sam Pittman after his team’s loss against LSU in their last game. 

WR Stewart, Evan 

WR Thomas, Noah 

WR Smith, Ainias 

TE Johnson, Jake 

QB Weigman, Conner 

RB Daniels, Amari 

FB Crownover, Earnest

WR Armstrong, Andrew 

WR TeSlaa, Isaac 

WR Wilson, Jaedon 

TE Hasz, Dylan 

QB Jefferson, KJ 

RB Sanders, Raheim 

Passing: C. Weigman (979)

Rushing: A. Daniels (234)

Receiving: E. Stewart (307)

Touchdowns: N. Thomas (4)

Passing: K. Jefferson (918)

Rushing: A. Green (190)

Receiving: A. Armstrong (273)

Touchdowns: A. Armstrong (3)

Coaches:

Texas A&M Aggies: Jimbo Fisher (6th season)

Arkansas Razorbacks: Sam Pittman (4th season)