Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Mar 12, 2022
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 12, 2022
Venue:  Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread: Texas A&M +6, Arkansas -6; Over/Under:  137.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M +6.5, Arkansas -6.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M +6.5, Arkansas -6.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
 

Season Record

Texas A&M Aggies:  22-11 (5th place, SEC)
Arkansas Razorbacks:  25-7 (4th place, SEC)
 
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Texas A&M Aggies vs Arkansas Razorbacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Texas A&M Aggies:  5-0 last 5
Arkansas Razorbacks:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Texas A&M Aggies Analysis

Texas A&M is coming into this game with a 22-11 record overall and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 9-9 this season against conference opponents. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one on a 6 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Vanderbilt Commodores while their 6 wins since then have come against the Georgia Bulldogs, the Ole Miss Rebels, the Alabama Crimson Tide, the Mississippi State Bulldogs, the Florida Gators, and the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Tyrece Radford led the team in points in that game with 19 while Quenton Jackson was next on the team with 17 points. Henry Coleman III led the team in assists in that game with 3 and he also led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 43.9% from the field, 50% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 19-13 this season and their O/U record is 21-11.
 
 

Arkansas Razorbacks Analysis

Arkansas is coming into this game with a 25-7 record overall and they are 3-1 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 13-5 against conference opponents this season. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Tennessee Volunteers while their 6 wins in that span came against the Missouri Tigers, the Tennessee Volunteers, the Florida Gators, the Kentucky Wildcats, the LSU Tigers, and the LSU again in their last game. Au'Diese Toney led the team in points in that game with 22 while JD Notae was next on the team with 19 points. Notae led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Jaylin Williams led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 42.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 PPG against them. Arkansas has an ATS record of 20-12 this season and their O/U record is 19-13.
 

 

Texas A&M vs Arkansas Prediction

Texas A&M is coming into this game as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M has been playing very well in their recent games as they have won their last 6 straight and have been heating up in their games. They will have a lot of confidence here as they are coming off of a win against Auburn in their last game, kicking them out of the tourney with a 5 point win after they were trailing by 20 points for most of the game. They are going up against an Arkansas side that has also been playing very well in their recent games and they just ripped right through LSU in their first game of this tourney. Arkansas has been winning a lot of games recently and against very good teams in their conference but they have also been winning a lot of these games at home where they play much better and this game is on a neutral site. They still smashed LSU on the neutral site in their last game but Texas A&M has been playing much better and this is bound to be a closer game. Either team could win this game as it is a tourney and both teams are playing very well right now. Regardless of who wins this game, it should be a close game either way so the best bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread.
 
Texas A&M Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 12, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Arkansas 75 Texas A&M 73.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Texas A&M Aggies: 7-12 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5. 21-9 OVER in all games. 12-3 OVER as an underdog.
Arkansas Razorbacks: 18-11 ATS in all games. 43-29 ATS as a favorite. 36-19 OVER against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Texas A&M Aggies:  M. Williams (G) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Johnson (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Arkansas Razorbacks:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I think going into today they were averaging over 25 threes per game. Ten, five-plus, zero five-plus, one, five. That was 15 of their 25, and so statistically speaking, we would have no chance if we allowed them to do what they wanted to do inside, so we had to defensively play inside-out.” - Buzz Williams after his team’s win against Auburn in the last round.
 
 
"A&M, tremendous respect for Buzz Williams as a coach. He has a group of guys that, much like us, they got hot at the end of the year. They've done a phenomenal job of late of playing really, really good basketball. When they went through their losing streak they were able to work their way through it, much like we did, and so we know we're playing a team that's playing with great confidence. We're going to play a team that believes they can win. We're playing against a team that is fighting for their NCAA lives tomorrow, and so we're going to get their best effort because they're really, really competitive and a tough-minded team just like their coaching staff." - Eric Musselman on his team facing Texas A&M in the semi-finals.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Texas A&M Aggies
H. Coleman 
A. Gordon 
E. Henderson
T. Radford 
M. Williams
 
Arkansas Razorbacks
J. Notae 
Au’Diese Toney 
S. Umude 
T. Wade 
J. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Texas A&M Aggies
PPG: Q. Jackson (14.5)
APG: M. Williams (3.4)
Reb/G: H. Coleman III (6.2)
 
Arkansas Razorbacks
PPG: J. Notae (18.9)
APG: J. Notae (3.6)
Reb/G: J. Williams (9.6)
 
Coaches:
Texas A&M Aggies: Buzz Williams (3rd season)
Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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