by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 30, 2024
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tennessee -11, Vanderbilt +11; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tennessee -11, Vanderbilt +11; Over/Under: 48.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tennessee -11, Vanderbilt +11; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Tennessee Volunteers: 9-2 (5-2) (3rd place, SEC)
Vanderbilt Commodores: 6-5 (3-4) (12th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers: won their last game at home against the UTEP Miners 56-0.
Vanderbilt Commodores: lost their last game on the road against the LSU Tigers 24-17.
Tennessee Volunteers vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview and Analysis
Tennessee is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 7-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UTEP 56-0. Nico Iamaleava was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 209 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dylan Sampson led the team in rushing yards with 77 and 1 TD. Bru McCoy led the receivers with 37 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Boo Carter led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while James Pearce Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 6-5 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against LSU 24-17. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 13/24 passes for 186 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Diego Pavia led the team in rushing yards with 43 and 1 TD. Quincy Skinner Jr. led the receivers with 72 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Langston Patterson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Yilanan Ouattara led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction
The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as an 11 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has looked good in their games this season with their 6-5 record overall, but their 3-4 conference record has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have struggled more in conference play this season, but Vandy is normally at the foot of the SEC so this is a big year for them becoming bowl eligible. They have looked a lot better in their home games this season with their 4-2 home record and even though they don't really have anything left to play for here, they can still spoil Tennessee's season and hurt their chances of getting into the CFP. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-2 record overall and their 5-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are in playoff contention at the moment and even have a chance to make the SEC Championship, but they have definitely struggled more against conference opponents this season. They are coming off a 56-0 win over UTEP in their last one, but that game showed that their offense goes off against much weaker non-conference teams. They haven't had that same success against SEC opponents though and have been relying a lot on their good defense to keep them in bigger games. They haven't looked great in their road games either, only playing 3 road games this season and going 1-2 in those. Vanderbilt is coming off a 24-17 road loss against LSU and they have been a really scrappy team this season that doesn't go down without a fight. They haven't really been getting blown out either so they have a good chance of staying in this game with the way Tennessee has struggled more on offense in conference play. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game.
Tennessee Vanderbilt Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 30, 2024 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 23 Vanderbilt 16.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Tennessee Volunteers: 23-14 ATS in all lined games. 20-10 ATS as a favorite. 13-5 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 7-2 UNDER as a road favorite. 12-6 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record.
Vanderbilt Commodores: 6-12 ATS in home lined games. 4-7 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 4-7 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 6-3 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Volunteers: D. Bishop (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. V. Lang (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Spillman (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out - Knee. J. Thomas (DB) Out - Knee.
Vanderbilt Commodores: B. Mann (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Wiley (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Diakite (DE) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Morgan (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Wood (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Davis (CB) Out - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“Once we settled in and did the ordinary things, we had a real good day.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against UTEP in their last game.
“Maybe externally for the Playoff stuff. That’s just not what we focus on. We’re excited to compete against our in-state rival, and again, we’re excited to play better. We want to play a better game against them, and that’s the opportunity we want to seize. We want to send our seniors out the right way.” - Clark Lea on his team’s season finale against Tennessee this week.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Volunteers
WR McCoy, Bru
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR White, Squirrel
TE Kitselman, Miles
QB Iamaleava, Nico
RB Sampson, Dylan
FB Harrison, Cole
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sherrill, Junior
WR Skinner Jr., Quincy
WR Hoskins, Richie
TE Spence, Cole
QB Pavia, Diego
RB Alexander, Sedrick
FB Fisher, Gabe
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: N. Iamaleava (2245)
Rushing: D. Sampson (1307)
Receiving: D. Thornton (529)
Touchdowns: D. Sampson (22)
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: D. Pavia (2029)
Rushing: D. Pavia (671)
Receiving: E. Stowers (568)
Touchdowns: S. Alexander (6)
Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (4th season)
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
