Tennessee Volunteers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/29/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Venue:  Dean E. Smith Center, Chapel Hill, NC

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee PK, UNC PK; Over/Under:  142 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee PK, UNC PK; Over/Under:  142 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee PK, UNC PK; Over/Under:  142 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  4-2 (0-0) (11th place, SEC)

North Carolina Tar Heels:  5-1 (0-0) (4th place, ACC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  3-2  last 5

North Carolina Tar Heels:  4-1  last 5

Tennessee is entering this game with a 4-2 record overall and they are 1-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Santiago Vescovi led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Dalton Knecht and Jordan Gainey each were next on the team with 13. Santiago Vescovi and Jordan Gainey each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Jonas Aidoo led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 31% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 87.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 61.5 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 3-3 this season and their O/U record is 3-3.

North Carolina is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. RJ Davis led the team in points in that game with 30 while Harrison Ingram was next on the team with 13. Harrison Ingram led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Harrison Ingram led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 49.1% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69 PPG against them. North Carolina has an ATS record of 3-3 this season and their O/U record is 4-1-1.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-2 record overall. They do have 2 losses already which isn't great for a team ranked inside the top 10 of the country, but both of their losses were also to teams ranked higher than them as they lost to No. 1 Purdue and No. 5 Kansas. They are already 1-0 in their road games this season and just played a tournament at a neutral site too. Meanwhile, North Carolina has also looked great in their games this season with their 5-1 record overall and they are looking to re-establish themselves as one of the best in the nation after the way things went last season. They have looked great in their home games this year with their 3-0 home record but their 1 loss this season came against Villanova at a neutral site and even though Villanova is ranked, they are not really in the top 10 so UNC is going to struggle against Tennessee who will be the best team they have faced this season. Tennessee also plays very well on the defensive end so that will be the key for them to win this game on the road with the better defensive play. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, November 29, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 79 UNC 74.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 9-5 ATS as a road favorite or pick. 21-11 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread. 55-33 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 3-1 OVER as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 24-18 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders.

North Carolina Tar Heels: 3-13 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 2-6 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite. 13-20 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 35-23 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 18-10 OVER after a combined score of 155 points or more.

Tennessee Volunteers:  F. Dillone V (G) Ques Wed - Foot.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  C. Ryan (G) Ques Wed - Ankle.

“Give Kansas credit, I thought they played extremely well. I thought their key guys did exactly what you’d expect them to do night in and night out.” - Rick Barnes after his team’s loss against Kansas in their last game on Wednesday.

“Sometimes, good offense beats good defense. He was hot and getting to his spots. He’s a mid-range jump-shooter who’s got size and athleticism. I thought Seth Trimble did a fantastic job guarding him. We always talk about us playing good, sound defense. If they make a shot over your head, just shake their hand, say good job and know you have to do it again on the next possession. I think that’s what Seth and the rest of the team did, was continue to force him into tough shots. We were able to get rebounds and make them miss down the stretch.” - Hubert Davis after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game on Friday.

J. Aidoo 

J. James 

D. Knecht 

J. Mashack 

S. Vescovi

A. Bacot 

R. Davis 

H. Ingram 

C. Ryan 

P. Wojcik

PPG: D. Knecht (17.5)

APG: Z. Zeigler (3)

Reb/G: J. Aidoo (7.5)

PPG: R. Davis (18.2)

APG: E. Cadeau (3.2)

Reb/G: A. Bacot (11.7)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (9th season)

North Carolina Tar Heels: Hubert Davis (3rd season)