Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/10/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 09, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 10, 2024
Venue:  Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS
Where to Watch:  SEC Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -2.5, MS State +2.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -2.5, MS State +2.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -2.5, MS State +2.5; Over/Under:  140.5 points

Season Record

Tennessee Volunteers:  11-3 (1-0) (4th place, SEC)
Mississippi State Bulldogs:  11-3 (0-1) (9th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers:  5-0  last 5
Mississippi State Bulldogs:  4-1  last 5


Tennessee Volunteers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview and Analysis


Tennessee is entering this game with an 11-3 record overall, a 1-0 record in conference games, and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Mississippi Rebels in their last game. Jonas Aidoo led the team in points per game in that game with 24 while Zakai Zeigler was next on the team with 17. Zakai Zeigler led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Jonas Aidoo led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.2% from the field, 36.7% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.3 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 6-7-1 this season and their O/U record is 8-6.


Mississippi State is entering this game with an 11-3 record overall, a 0-1 conference record, and they are 5-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Josh Hubbard and Tolu Smith each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Shakeel Moore was next on the team with 10. D. J. Jeffries led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Cameron Matthews and Dashawn Davis each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 48.1% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.1 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 8-6 this season and their O/U record is 6-8.



Tennessee vs Mississippi State Prediction

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked really good in their games this season with their 11-3 record overall and they are also ranked as one of the best teams in the nation right now. They are off to a good start in the SEC with their 1-0 conference record and they are also 1-1 in their road games this year. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has also looked good in their games this season with their 11-3 record overall, but they started the season as a ranked team and are no longer in the top 25 since they have failed to answer the call in multiple games against tougher opponents this season. They are 5-1 in their home games and they are already 0-1 in their conference games too. Tennessee also has 3 losses this season but they were against much tougher ranked teams than the teams Mississippi State lost to. Tennessee also thrashed Ole Miss in their last game so they will be looking to carry over that momentum here and take control of the SEC by staying undefeated in the conference. Tennessee has one of the best teams in the country this season and they have been rolling into the conference schedule lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.

Tennessee Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, January 10, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 76 MS State 71.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Tennessee Volunteers: 6-15 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 5-11 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 7-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 11-6 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 25-10 UNDER after one or more consecutive overs. 18-8 UNDER after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite.

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 42-26 ATS as a home underdog or pick. 9-4 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 27-15 ATS after 2 straight games where they had 10 or more steals. 12-7 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 12-7 UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. 

Key Injuries


Tennessee Volunteers:  None.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  None.

Notable Quotes


“I had a long talk with Jonas after practice the other day. I said, ‘You’re so much better than you're playing. I have really high expectations for you.'” - Rick Barnes after his team’s win against Ole Miss in their last game on Saturday.


"Zero chance to win games of this magnitude if we're getting outrebounded like that. That's all I talked about with the team in the locker room. We definitely were talking about it during the timeouts. In the second half, we had unbelievable stretches where we didn't get any offensive rebounds…That was the game." - Chris Jans after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Volunteers
J. Aidoo 
J. James 
D. Knecht 
S. Vescovi 
Z. Zeigler

Mississippi State Bulldogs
J. Bell 
D. Davis
T. Fort 
D. Jeffries 
C. Matthews

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Volunteers
PPG: D. Knecht (15.1)
APG: Z. Zeigler (4.9)
Reb/G: J. James (7.1)

Mississippi State Bulldogs
PPG: T. Smith (14.5)
APG: D. Davis (3.4)
Reb/G: J. Bell Jr. (8.6)

Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (9th season)
Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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