Game Time: 2:15 pm ET, Sunday, March 29, 2026
Venue: United Center, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tennessee +7.5, Michigan -7.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tennessee +7.5, Michigan -7.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tennessee +7.5, Michigan -7.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
Season Record
Tennessee Volunteers: 25-11 (11-7) (5th place, SEC)
Michigan Wolverines: 34-3 (19-1) (1st place, Big Ten)
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Tennessee Volunteers: 4-1 last 5
Michigan Wolverines: 4-1 last 5
Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines Preview and Analysis
Tennessee is entering this game with a 25-11 record overall, a 11-7 record in conference games, and they are 6-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Nate Ament led the team in points in that game with 18 while Ja'Kobi Gillespie was next on the team with 16. Bishop Boswell led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Felix Okpara and Jaylen Carey each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50.8% from the field, 31.8% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 17-18-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-19.
Michigan is entering this game with a 34-3 record overall, a 19-1 conference record, and they are 9-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in points in that game with 23 while Elliot Cadeau and Trey McKenney each were next on the team with 17. Yaxel Lendeborg and Elliot Cadeau each led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Yaxel Lendeborg led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 50% from the field, 48.1% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.8 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 17-20 this season and their O/U record is 15-22.
Tennessee vs Michigan Prediction
The current betting odds have Michigan listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan has looked great in their games this season with their 34-3 record overall and their 19-1 conference record which had them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great in their neutral site games too with their 9-2 record in those. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 25-11 record overall and their 11-7 conference record which had them in the top half of the SEC. They are also 6-3 in their neutral site games this year. Tennessee has been rolling in this tournament as they are off an impressive double digit win over Iowa State in their last one. They took down what looked like the best 2 seed in this tournament, but Iowa State has picked up some questionable losses this season and that was a game where their offense just didn't show up. Tennessee has been a solid team in the SEC this season with some good wins under their belt, but the SEC wasn't a really strong conference this year and even with those good wins under their belt, Tennessee also has some questionable losses. They didn't have a tough path in the first 2 rounds either and now they are going to be facing one of the best teams in the nation who has looked like the best team all year. Michigan has been rolling over opponents in this tournament and they are off another crushing victory against Alabama in their last one. Even when the games have been close, Michigan has been breaking open games in the 2nd half and Tennessee doesn't have the offense to keep up when Michigan gets rolling. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan to cover the spread in this game.
Tennessee Michigan Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 29, 2026 (2:15 pm ET start time) is Michigan 80 Tennessee 68.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-3 ATS in all neutral court games. 6-2 ATS in all tournament games. 7-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 14-4 UNDER in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 26-15 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins.
Michigan Wolverines: 11-17 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 17-24 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 22-31 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 12-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 14-7 UNDER after scoring 85 points or more.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Volunteers: C. Phillips (F) Out - Shoulder.
Michigan Wolverines: L. Cason (G) Out - Knee. W. Grady (G-F) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Liburd (G-F) Out - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
“We do have a standard on a lot of things, not just what we do on the basketball court. We're pretty much a no-nonsense program. We talk about that through the recruiting process. We tell everyone it's going to be tough. We want them to come. We want them to come, and really help them live their dreams. We'd like them to have a chance to play for a national championship.” - Rick Barnes after his team’s win against ISU in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament on Friday.
“We were down on ourselves, and we came in, and we regrouped, and our guys had a different level of focus and intensity in the second half.” - Dusty May after his team’s win against Alabama in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Volunteers
N. Ament
B. Boswell
J. Estrella
J. Gillespie
F. Okpara
Michigan Wolverines
N. Burnett
E. Cadeau
M. Johnson
Y. Lendeborg
A. Mara
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Volunteers
PPG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (18.3)
APG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (5.5)
Reb/G: Nate Ament (6.4)
Michigan Wolverines
PPG: Yaxel Lendeborg (14.9)
APG: Elliot Cadeau (5.7)
Reb/G: Morez Johnson Jr. (7.3)
Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (11th season)
Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (2nd season)