Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/10/2026

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 10, 2026

Venue:  Stephen C. O'Connell Center, Gainesville, FL 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +5.5, Florida -5.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +5.5, Florida -5.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +5.5, Florida -5.5; Over/Under:  153.5 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  11-4 (1-1) (10th place, SEC)

Florida Gators:  10-5 (1-1) (6th place, SEC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  4-1  last 5

Florida Gators:  4-1  last 5

Tennessee is entering this game with an 11-4 record overall, a 1-1 record in conference games, and they are 0-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in points in that game with 34 while J.P. Estrella was next on the team with 11. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in assists with 5 in that game while J.P. Estrella led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 52.7% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 72.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.7 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 6-9 this season and their O/U record is 9-6.

Florida is entering this game with a 10-5 record overall, a 1-1 conference record, and they are 7-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Georgia Bulldogs in their last game. Thomas Haugh and Alex Condon each led the team in points in that game with 21 while Urban Klavzar was next on the team with 11. Boogie Fland led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Thomas Haugh led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 46.7% from the field, 24% from 3-point range, and 69.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 71.2 PPG against them. Florida has an ATS record of 4-11 this season and their O/U record is 5-10.

The current betting odds have Florida listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida has looked good in their games this season with their 10-5 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 7-0 home record this season. Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 11-4 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have been a bad road team though with their 0-2 road record this season. Tennessee is 4-1 in their last 5 games and they are off a big win over Texas in their last one, but this isn't the same team that has been one of the best in the nation over the last 2 years. Tennessee has dropped some bad games this season, even losing against some weaker opponents, and they have an 11 point loss to Arkansas in their only road game played in conference play. This isn't the same Florida team that won the National Championship last season either, but they are starting to turn the corner after a bad start to the year. They were losing every big game they played early on, but now they are 4-1 in their last 5 games and have looked a lot better lately. They took a bad road loss to Mizzou, but they are off a big win over Georgia in their last one and really pulled away from them in that one. Florida is starting to get into a groove now and they have played their best basketball at home all season, look for them to take advantage of a Tennessee team that has shown a lot of weakness this year when they haven't been on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Florida Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 10, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Florida 76 Tennessee 69.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 14-23 ATS on the road versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less. 12-21 ATS on the road versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 10-17 ATS on the road versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or less. 4-0 OVER on the road versus good foul drawing teams - attempting 25 free throws/game or more.

Florida Gators: 20-12 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 23-11 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 22-11 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 20-12 OVER off a win against a conference rival.

Tennessee Volunteers:  C. Phillips (F) Out - Shoulder.

Florida Gators:  None.

"I thought he was really locked in starting yesterday, after Saturday's game and in our film session, the boatload of mistakes we made at Arkansas, he came out yesterday and you could tell he was really locked into doing his part individually, more defensively than anything. And I thought today his defense is what got him really going. I thought he was really working hard on the defensive end and we know he can get it going like he did. Obviously he was very effective in the middle ball-screen, but it started in practice the day before." - Rick Barnes on Ja’Kobi Gillespie after his team’s win against Texas in their last game. 

"Tonight was a game that we needed. An opportunity for us to play against a very good team. Credit to Georgia, obviously they are really hard to guard and they are really good offensively. They stretch you out and have multiple guys that can move on the deck and get to the rim. They have really good guard play, really good guard play. We got off to a good start, and got up nine.” - Todd Golden after his team’s win against UGA in their last game. 

N. Ament 

B. Boswell 

J. Gillespie 

F. Okpara 

C. Phillips

R. Chinyelu 

A. Condon 

B. Fland 

T. Haugh 

X. Lee

PPG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (18.7)

APG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (5.7)

Reb/G: Nate Ament (6.5)

PPG: Thomas Haugh (17.5)

APG: Alex Condon (3.6)

Reb/G: Rueben Chinyelu (10.3)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (11th season)

Florida Gators: Todd Golden (4th season)